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2024-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Tarleton State Texans UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 17.8% 82.2% -
Bradley-Terry 18.4% 81.6% -
Margin 2.2% 97.8% +21.0 (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 20.4% 79.6% -
Efficiency 20.4% 79.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 11.6% 88.4% -

Actual: UCF Knights +15 (66-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tarleton State Texans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Miles 39 4-10 0-2 1-3 2 3 8 0 3 9 9 -7.2
K. Bristow 35 4-10 0-1 0-0 7 4 1 2 8 8 4 -7.2
N. Krass 31 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -
B. Benjamin 26 5-7 3-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 4 13 5 -10.5
C. Mpaka 25 4-11 0-0 3-6 9 1 1 1 3 11 9 -9.6
J. Mizell 22 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 +2.4
R. Harrison Jr. 14 2-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 4 0 +2.4
J. Martinez 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Krass 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Johnson 39 2-5 2-4 4-4 2 7 3 0 5 10 12 +10.0
M. Thiam 31 4-9 0-1 2-2 9 1 2 6 2 10 17 +12.8
K. Hall 28 1-7 1-4 5-6 6 0 1 0 1 8 7 +8.4
J. Ivy-Curry 27 5-12 4-10 2-2 6 2 3 0 2 16 13 +11.3
D. Coleman 25 3-9 1-7 1-1 3 2 1 0 1 8 4 +3.3
B. Williams 17 2-4 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 6 5 +1.1
JJ Taylor 15 1-3 1-3 3-5 4 0 0 0 3 6 4 +5.2
D. Johnson 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 2 1 -
N. Machowski 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -8.5
R. Jocius 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.2

* = starter