Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado Buffaloes | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +1 (75-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jakimovski | 36 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | +7.6 |
| RJ Smith | 35 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +7.4 |
| J. Hammond III | 34 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 8-9 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 18 | +3.6 |
| E. Malone | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1 | +1.3 |
| A. Diop | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 18 | +12.0 |
| B. Dak | 18 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | -1.2 |
| T. Baskin | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3.0 |
| S. Rancik | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.4 |
| H. Carrington | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| F. Kossaras | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +0.1 |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ivy-Curry | 37 | 7-13 | 4-10 | 4-5 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 21 | -0.8 |
| K. Hall | 35 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 6-9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13 | +1.4 |
| D. Johnson | 32 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 14 | +2.9 |
| D. Coleman | 29 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -1.0 |
| M. Thiam | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -7.2 |
| B. Williams | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -0.5 |
| JJ Taylor | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | +0.7 |
| D. Johnson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Jocius | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter