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Sacramento Monarchs

Season: 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000
Also known as: Sacramento Monarchs
Program History

2008 Team Stats (37 games)

73.2
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
41.4%
FG%
38.1%
3P%
75.7%
FT%
31.7
RPG
13.7
APG
14.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
74.3
Adj PPG
74.3
Adj Opp PPG
#9
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2008
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1061 (#5) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1032 (#7) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More → 1006 (#8) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → -0.0 (#9) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → +0.7 (#8) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.478 (#10) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.2 More → 0.493 (#9) AdjNet -0.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.2 More → 0.493 (#9) AdjNet -0.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.3 | AdjD 74.3 More → 0.499 (#9) AdjO 74.3 | AdjD 74.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.7 | AdjD 75.2 More → 0.512 (#8) AdjO 75.7 | AdjD 75.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.521 (#7) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.523 (#7) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 112 | GP 37 More → 1043 (#6) RD 112 | GP 37

2008 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2008-05-17 vs San Antonio Silver Stars W 73 - 64
2008-05-20 @ Seattle Storm L 62 - 74
2008-05-22 @ Chicago Sky L 77 - 87
2008-05-24 @ Connecticut Sun L 64 - 87
2008-05-30 vs Houston Comets W 73 - 66
2008-06-06 vs Detroit Shock L 70 - 84
2008-06-08 @ New York Liberty W 70 - 63
2008-06-11 @ Washington Mystics W 79 - 76
2008-06-12 @ Minnesota Lynx W 82 - 78
2008-06-14 vs Los Angeles Sparks L 66 - 74
2008-06-20 vs Connecticut Sun L 56 - 72
2008-06-22 vs Chicago Sky W 82 - 70
2008-06-24 @ Indiana Fever L 73 - 78
2008-06-26 @ Minnesota Lynx L 76 - 80
2008-06-28 vs New York Liberty W 82 - 78
2008-07-01 vs Washington Mystics W 87 - 81
2008-07-03 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 67 - 68
2008-07-05 @ Houston Comets L 65 - 73
2008-07-08 vs Seattle Storm L 64 - 79
2008-07-10 vs Los Angeles Sparks W 87 - 69
2008-07-12 vs Phoenix Mercury W 105 - 97
2008-07-18 vs Atlanta Dream W 77 - 73
2008-07-20 @ Detroit Shock W 88 - 85
2008-07-22 @ Atlanta Dream W 79 - 66
2008-07-24 vs Phoenix Mercury W 83 - 74
2008-07-26 vs Indiana Fever W 70 - 62
2008-07-27 @ Seattle Storm L 71 - 77
2008-08-28 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 63 - 78
2008-08-30 vs Houston Comets W 80 - 65
2008-09-05 @ Phoenix Mercury L 69 - 81
2008-09-07 vs Minnesota Lynx W 78 - 71
2008-09-09 vs Seattle Storm W 77 - 74
2008-09-12 @ Houston Comets - Postponed
2008-09-13 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 69 - 77
2008-09-15 @ Houston Comets L 81 - 90
2008-09-18 vs San Antonio Silver Stars L 78 - 85
2008-09-20 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 84 - 67
2008-09-22 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 81 - 86

2008 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
N. Powell N. Powell F 36 26.9 13.8 4.6 1.5 1.2 0.2 1.9 12.9 6.5 - - - - 37.3 39.2 86.9 - 49.6 45.7
K. Lawson K. Lawson G 35 25.3 12.3 2.7 2.3 0.9 0.1 1.6 10.3 6.3 - - - - 42.0 44.2 89.7 - 54.9 51.0
R. Brunson R. Brunson F 31 25.1 10.9 7.1 0.4 1.3 0.7 1.7 9.0 9.6 - - - - 49.6 0 68.2 - 53.0 49.6
T. Penicheiro T. Penicheiro G 35 25.6 9.1 3.1 5.3 2.1 0.1 2.6 7.3 9.9 - - - - 38.4 34.4 80.6 - 50.4 40.6
Tim Bograkos Tim Bograkos - 35 15.7 7.8 3.3 0.5 0.5 0.1 1.2 4.4 6.6 - - - - 48.1 0.0 85.6 - 62.5 48.1
Larry McSwain Larry McSwain - 31 16.6 6.6 1.0 0.7 1.3 0.3 2.4 5.5 2.0 - - - - 40.6 38.7 70.9 - 50.3 44.1
Mark McCarroll Mark McCarroll - 37 19.2 6.0 4.8 0.7 0.5 0.3 1.5 5.8 4.9 - - - - 43.3 0 61.0 - 46.1 43.3
L. Harper L. Harper F 37 15.1 5.4 4.0 0.4 0.5 0.6 1.6 3.9 5.3 - - - - 46.5 0 59.8 - 51.8 46.5
I. Piekarska I. Piekarska NA 1 13.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 1.0 - - - - 33.3 50.0 0 - 41.7 41.7
C. Newton C. Newton NA 29 13.5 4.5 1.3 1.1 1.1 0.0 0.9 3.5 3.5 - - - - 42.2 37.5 77.4 - 51.9 43.6
D. Walker D. Walker F 8 9.9 3.4 2.4 0.2 0.8 0.0 1.6 3.0 2.1 - - - - 45.8 0 71.4 - 49.9 45.8
L. Atkinson L. Atkinson NA 6 14.8 3.2 3.3 1.8 1.2 0.3 2.2 3.3 4.3 - - - - 30.0 0.0 70.0 - 38.9 30.0
Joe Smith Joe Smith - 7 6.7 2.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.0 1.0 2.1 0.6 - - - - 53.3 28.6 0 - 60.0 60.0
Paul Pierce Paul Pierce - 20 7.7 2.1 1.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.6 2.8 0.7 - - - - 28.6 8.3 58.8 - 33.9 29.5
A. Franklin A. Franklin NA 37 9.4 1.5 1.3 1.6 0.5 0.0 0.8 2.1 2.1 - - - - 27.6 22.2 64.3 - 34.7 31.6

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2008 Shot Zones

2406 located field-goal attempts in 38 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Brunson21% McCarroll16% Lawson19% Brunson16% Lawson23% Lawson36% Powell40% Powell51% Lawson40% Lawson43%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Brunson18% Penicheiro15% Lawson25% Lawson23% Powell27% Powell45% Powell35% Powell42% Lawson44% Powell44%
Misses: who misses most here

N. PowellK. LawsonR. BrunsonT. PenicheiroMark McCarroll

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 420-796 52.8 840 R. Brunson 21% (174 pts) L. Harper 15% (122 pts) R. Brunson 18% (66 misses) Mark McCarroll 14% (52 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 194-520 37.3 388 Mark McCarroll 16% (64 pts) N. Powell 16% (62 pts) T. Penicheiro 15% (49 misses) N. Powell 14% (46 misses)
Mid-range left 93-256 36.3 186 K. Lawson 19% (36 pts) N. Powell 18% (34 pts) K. Lawson 25% (40 misses) N. Powell 23% (37 misses)
Mid-range center 43-116 37.1 86 R. Brunson 16% (14 pts) T. Penicheiro 16% (14 pts) K. Lawson 23% (17 misses) N. Powell 23% (17 misses)
Mid-range right 71-241 29.5 142 K. Lawson 23% (32 pts) N. Powell 18% (26 pts) N. Powell 27% (46 misses) K. Lawson 20% (34 misses)
Left corner 3 11-31 35.5 33 K. Lawson 36% (12 pts) Larry McSwain 36% (12 pts) N. Powell 45% (9 misses) Larry McSwain 25% (5 misses)
Right corner 3 10-27 37.0 30 N. Powell 40% (12 pts) Larry McSwain 20% (6 pts) N. Powell 35% (6 misses) K. Lawson 29% (5 misses)
Above-break 3 left 82-192 42.7 246 N. Powell 51% (126 pts) K. Lawson 32% (78 pts) N. Powell 42% (46 misses) K. Lawson 29% (32 misses)
Above-break 3 center 20-61 32.8 60 K. Lawson 40% (24 pts) N. Powell 40% (24 pts) K. Lawson 44% (18 misses) N. Powell 34% (14 misses)
Above-break 3 right 61-166 36.7 183 K. Lawson 43% (78 pts) N. Powell 43% (78 pts) N. Powell 44% (46 misses) K. Lawson 28% (29 misses)