Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.2% | 50.8% | +0.2 | ✓ (17.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +18 (87-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candace Parker * | 30 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Lisa Leslie * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Marie Ferdinand-Harris * | 21 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Shannon Bobbitt * | 21 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Sidney Spencer | 22 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Amber Jacobs | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Christi Thomas | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jessica Moore | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Raffaella Masciadri | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Murriel Page | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 28 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Nicole Powell * | 27 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 8-10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 22 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Adrian Williams-Strong * | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Crystal Kelly | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Scholanda Dorrell | 18 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Laura Harper | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Chelsea Newton | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A'Quonesia Franklin | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kim Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter