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2008-09-18

Model Predictions

Model Las Vegas Aces Sacramento Monarchs Spread Result
Elo 49.0% 51.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 51.4% 48.6% - โœ“
Margin 35.6% 64.4% +3.3 โœ— (10.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 50.5% 49.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 50.5% 49.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 44.3% 55.7% - โœ—

Actual: Sacramento Monarchs -7 (78-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Becky Hammon * 37 9-14 6-8 6-7 2 4 0 0 2 30 20 -
Ann Wauters * 36 4-8 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 2 3 8 2 -
Sophia Young-Malcolm * 34 6-10 0-0 5-8 8 2 1 0 8 17 10 -
Vickie Johnson * 31 5-7 0-1 3-4 2 8 3 0 1 13 18 -
Erin Perperoglou * 31 4-6 1-1 1-2 4 1 0 0 3 10 6 -
Ruth Riley 10 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 0 3 4 4 -
Edwige Lawson-Wade 9 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -
Helen Darling 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 -
Morenike Atunrase 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ticha Penicheiro * 31 9-16 1-1 0-1 0 7 3 0 1 19 12 -
Nicole Powell * 29 6-12 0-4 4-4 6 1 1 1 1 16 12 -
Kara Lawson * 25 3-5 1-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 3 7 6 -
Crystal Kelly * 23 5-8 0-0 2-3 3 0 0 0 0 12 7 -
Adrian Williams-Strong * 19 3-7 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
Scholanda Dorrell 21 1-4 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 3 3 -2 -
Laura Harper 17 3-5 0-0 2-4 2 1 2 0 5 8 3 -
DeMya Walker 12 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 3 4 2 -
Chelsea Newton 10 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 1 1 0 1 3 3 -
A'Quonesia Franklin 6 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
Charel Allen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter