Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Monarchs | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.3% | 70.7% | +4.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.5% | 68.5% | +4.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +5 (86-81). Ratings: 2009 season-end ratings.
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 34 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Nicole Powell * | 33 | 8-17 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 31 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Crystal Kelly * | 30 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Adrian Williams-Strong * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| DeMya Walker | 20 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Chelsea Newton | 18 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Scholanda Dorrell | 17 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Laura Harper | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
| A'Quonesia Franklin | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 41 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Becky Hammon * | 38 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 9-9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Ann Wauters * | 38 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Vickie Johnson * | 33 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Erin Perperoglou * | 23 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Edwige Lawson-Wade | 29 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Ruth Riley | 12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Helen Darling | 6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter