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2008-05-22

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Monarchs Chicago Sky Spread Result
Elo 34.6% 65.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 32.8% 67.2% - โœ“
Margin 38.2% 61.8% +2.6 โœ“ (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.7% 50.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 51.6% 48.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 51.7% 48.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 45.7% 54.3% - โœ“

Actual: Chicago Sky +10 (87-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rebekkah Brunson * 30 6-11 0-0 4-6 7 0 3 1 3 16 13 -
Kara Lawson * 27 5-10 2-4 1-1 2 2 0 0 1 13 6 -
Ticha Penicheiro * 26 5-9 0-1 2-3 4 5 0 0 2 12 10 -
Adrian Williams-Strong * 22 5-9 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 10 2 -
Nicole Powell * 20 5-12 2-5 0-0 5 1 0 0 6 12 0 -
La'Tangela Atkinson 15 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 6 7 -
Laura Harper 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 2 5 -
A'Quonesia Franklin 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 0 3 -
Kim Smith 11 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 -1 -
Crystal Kelly 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 2 2 -
Charel Allen 7 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -3 -

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Armintie Herrington * 33 9-12 0-0 4-4 4 4 3 1 2 22 20 -
Jia Perkins * 31 3-9 0-2 1-1 4 5 4 1 1 7 11 -
Candice Dupree * 28 6-6 0-0 10-11 1 4 2 1 1 22 23 -
Sylvia Fowles * 27 5-8 0-0 1-1 7 1 2 4 2 11 15 -
Dominique Canty * 25 4-8 0-0 6-8 3 6 1 0 2 14 14 -
K.B. Sharp 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 4 -1 -
Chasity Melvin 15 1-4 0-0 1-4 2 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
Brooke Wyckoff 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 1 -
Quianna Chaney 8 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 2 2 -
Cathy Joens 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter