Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Monarchs | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.5% | 68.5% | +4.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +1 (68-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Powell * | 30 | 3-17 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -3 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 30 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 29 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Scholanda Dorrell * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Adrian Williams-Strong * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Chelsea Newton | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Laura Harper | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Crystal Kelly | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A'Quonesia Franklin | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kim Smith | 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 33 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Ann Wauters * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Becky Hammon * | 30 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Vickie Johnson * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Erin Perperoglou * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ruth Riley | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Helen Darling | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Morenike Atunrase | 14 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Edwige Lawson-Wade | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Sandora Irvin | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter