๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2008-08-28

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Monarchs Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 27.9% 72.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 26.9% 73.1% - โœ“
Margin 20.8% 79.2% +7.4 โœ“ (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 40.3% 59.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 27.9% 72.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 27.9% 72.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.6% 64.4% - โœ“

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +15 (78-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nicole Powell * 27 3-15 2-6 4-4 5 0 1 0 1 12 2 -
Crystal Kelly * 22 2-6 0-0 2-3 5 1 1 0 0 6 7 -
Ticha Penicheiro * 22 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 7 2 0 2 3 12 -
Adrian Williams-Strong * 21 3-4 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 1 2 7 7 -
Kara Lawson * 21 4-9 2-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 10 1 -
Scholanda Dorrell 21 1-5 0-1 6-9 3 0 0 0 4 8 2 -
Laura Harper 20 1-6 0-0 6-8 7 0 0 1 2 8 8 -
Chelsea Newton 19 1-7 0-0 0-0 0 0 5 0 3 2 -3 -
A'Quonesia Franklin 12 1-2 0-0 2-4 0 1 1 0 0 4 4 -
DeMya Walker 11 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 2 3 1 -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Candace Parker * 31 8-13 0-0 3-4 9 2 1 5 5 19 18 -
DeLisha Milton-Jones * 30 4-8 0-2 3-4 8 2 1 2 5 11 11 -
Lisa Leslie * 26 5-10 0-0 4-7 6 3 1 8 1 14 21 -
Shannon Bobbitt * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 2 0 6 -
Kiesha Brown * 12 3-6 1-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 7 5 -
Temeka Johnson 16 1-4 0-2 1-1 3 3 1 0 1 3 5 -
Marie Ferdinand-Harris 14 1-6 1-1 2-3 2 2 1 0 1 5 3 -
Sidney Spencer 13 2-4 1-3 1-1 1 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
Jessica Moore 11 2-2 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 5 6 -
Raffaella Masciadri 10 2-5 0-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 4 1 -
Murriel Page 7 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 4 2 -

* = starter