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2008-05-20

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Monarchs Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 30.5% 69.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 25.6% 74.4% - โœ“
Margin 21.5% 78.5% +7.1 โœ“ (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 39.8% 60.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 29.2% 70.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 29.2% 70.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.1% 63.9% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm +12 (74-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rebekkah Brunson * 31 7-12 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 0 5 15 5 -
Kara Lawson * 27 4-9 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 10 4 -
Nicole Powell * 24 4-12 2-5 0-0 6 2 1 0 3 10 4 -
Ticha Penicheiro * 24 1-6 0-0 0-0 5 6 0 0 2 2 5 -
Adrian Williams-Strong * 15 2-6 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 3 5 1 -
Laura Harper 19 2-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 3 6 3 -
La'Tangela Atkinson 17 1-5 0-1 0-0 5 3 2 0 3 2 4 -
A'Quonesia Franklin 15 2-6 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 -1 -
Kim Smith 11 1-4 0-1 1-2 1 1 1 0 1 3 1 -
Crystal Kelly 8 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 4 6 -
Charel Allen 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sue Bird * 37 4-11 1-2 8-8 5 5 3 1 4 17 16 -
Lauren Jackson * 32 6-13 1-4 4-4 3 1 2 2 3 17 9 -
Sheryl Swoopes * 28 3-13 1-4 3-4 7 3 2 0 0 10 9 -
Yolanda Griffith * 23 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 2 1 2 8 -
Tanisha Wright * 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 0 -3 -
Swin Cash 27 6-13 0-1 5-5 3 3 2 1 1 17 12 -
Shyra Ely-Gash 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 0 3 -
Katie Gearlds 12 3-4 3-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 9 7 -
Ashley Robinson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
Kimberly Beck 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Kelly Santos 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter