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2008-07-12

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Mercury Sacramento Monarchs Spread Result
Elo 35.9% 64.1% -
Bradley-Terry 37.7% 62.3% -
Margin 36.6% 63.4% +3.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% -

Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +8 (105-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Smith 35 2-6 0-0 6-6 8 0 1 2 1 10 14 -
C. Pondexter 34 11-18 3-4 8-9 2 8 1 0 2 33 24 -
D. Taurasi 33 7-16 1-6 5-6 4 0 0 1 6 20 3 -
K. Miller 32 5-11 0-1 3-4 7 4 0 1 3 13 11 -
L. Willingham 24 3-4 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 3 8 6 -
K. Mazzante 14 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 7 2 -
B. Farris 13 1-2 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 0 4 8 -
L. Sanders 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 0 2 -
Y. Oga 3 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 2 1 -

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Brunson 28 6-9 0-0 1-2 11 0 1 1 4 13 13 -
K. Lawson 28 5-11 3-7 2-2 1 3 1 0 0 15 9 -
N. Powell 27 6-19 3-10 0-0 6 5 1 1 0 15 9 -
T. Penicheiro 27 3-5 1-1 7-7 1 6 0 0 2 14 14 -
C. Newton 20 4-7 0-0 10-10 3 0 2 0 1 18 15 -
A. Williams-Strong 18 3-6 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 8 5 -
S. Dorrell 16 1-6 1-1 5-6 1 0 1 1 3 8 2 -
C. Kelly 16 0-2 0-0 10-10 3 1 1 0 2 10 11 -
L. Harper 8 1-1 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
A. Franklin 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter