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2008-07-20

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Monarchs Detroit Shock Spread Result
Elo 22.6% 77.4% -
Bradley-Terry 31.6% 68.4% -
Margin 20.4% 79.6% +7.5 (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 37.1% 62.9% -

Actual: Detroit Shock -3 (85-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Powell 28 3-9 3-6 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 11 5 -
T. Penicheiro 27 4-9 3-4 6-8 3 2 1 0 1 17 13 -
K. Lawson 26 5-9 1-2 1-1 1 5 2 0 3 12 8 -
R. Brunson 25 7-11 0-0 4-4 7 0 1 1 3 18 13 -
C. Newton 15 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 6 0 0 0 5 8 -
C. Kelly 15 3-5 0-0 6-6 3 0 1 0 1 12 10 -
A. Williams-Strong 13 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 2 2 -
L. Harper 12 3-3 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 0 1 9 10 -
S. Dorrell 9 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 2 1 -
A. Franklin 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Detroit Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Smith 40 4-15 3-7 2-2 2 6 2 0 2 13 6 -
D. Nolan 39 11-24 3-7 2-2 1 5 1 0 2 27 8 -
C. Ford 35 8-9 0-0 2-2 10 0 1 0 0 18 20 -
P. Pierson 23 3-8 0-1 5-8 1 2 0 3 3 11 6 -
T. Humphrey 19 5-7 1-2 0-0 7 2 1 0 0 11 14 -
A. Hornbuckle 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 0 3 -
S. Sam 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
K. Braxton 6 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 3 4 -

* = starter