Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Monarchs | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.9% | 78.1% | +7.0 | ✗ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -3 (85-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Powell * | 29 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 29 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 6-8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 26 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 26 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Adrian Williams-Strong * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Crystal Kelly | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Scholanda Dorrell | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Chelsea Newton | 17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Laura Harper | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| A'Quonesia Franklin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Smith * | 40 | 4-15 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Deanna Nolan * | 40 | 11-24 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 8 | - |
| Cheryl Ford * | 34 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Tasha Humphrey * | 20 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Sheri Sam * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Plenette Pierson | 24 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Alexis Hornbuckle | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Kara Braxton | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Shay Murphy | 4 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter