Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Monarchs | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | +3.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +12 (81-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lawson | 27 | 7-14 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 12 | - |
| R. Brunson | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| A. Williams-Strong | 20 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| C. Kelly | 19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 12-14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| L. Harper | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| N. Powell | 16 | 2-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| S. Dorrell | 16 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| T. Penicheiro | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| A. Franklin | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| C. Newton | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Miller | 32 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 7 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 31 | 6-20 | 2-8 | 5-5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 30 | 8-17 | 5-10 | 5-5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 23 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 18 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| L. Sanders | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| B. Smith | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| O. Scott | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| L. Willingham | 13 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| B. Farris | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Y. Oga | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter