Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Monarchs | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.9% | 78.1% | +7.0 | ✗ (20.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -13 (66-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 22 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Nicole Powell * | 20 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Adrian Williams-Strong * | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Scholanda Dorrell | 23 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Laura Harper | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Crystal Kelly | 18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| A'Quonesia Franklin | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Chelsea Newton | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Kim Smith | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iziane Castro Marques * | 30 | 4-16 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 1 | - |
| Ivory Latta * | 27 | 5-11 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Kasha Terry * | 18 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Betty Lennox * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Alison Bales | 28 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Kristin Haynie | 24 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Katie Mattera | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Tamera Young | 12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Ann Strother | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter