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2008-07-22

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Monarchs Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 82.0% 18.0% -
Bradley-Terry 83.7% 16.3% -
Margin 75.6% 24.4% -6.2 (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 73.3% 26.7% -

Actual: Atlanta Dream -13 (66-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Dorrell 23 5-11 1-3 6-8 2 0 2 0 0 17 10 -
K. Lawson 22 5-8 2-3 1-1 2 3 0 0 0 13 10 -
T. Penicheiro 21 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 4 3 0 3 2 5 -
N. Powell 20 3-9 2-7 1-2 2 3 2 0 1 9 6 -
L. Harper 19 2-6 0-0 1-2 12 2 0 0 2 5 11 -
A. Williams-Strong 17 4-7 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 8 2 -
C. Kelly 17 1-6 0-0 5-5 5 0 0 0 2 7 4 -
R. Brunson 14 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 6 6 -
A. Franklin 14 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 3 2 0 2 1 3 -
C. Newton 13 2-3 0-0 4-4 0 2 1 0 0 8 8 -
K. Smith 6 1-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Castro 30 4-16 1-7 4-4 6 3 0 0 5 13 1 -
A. Bales 28 2-7 0-0 3-3 7 1 1 5 1 7 13 -
I. Latta 27 5-11 2-8 3-4 2 3 1 0 1 15 9 -
K. Haynie 23 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 4 1 1 4 2 3 -
B. Lennox 17 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 2 1 0 0 1 4 -
K. Terry 17 6-8 0-0 3-5 9 0 0 2 3 15 15 -
J. Lacy 16 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 4 1 -
K. Feenstra 16 2-6 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 4 1 5 4 -
T. Young 12 1-7 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
A. Strother 8 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 -

* = starter