Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.6% | 63.4% | +3.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +9 (83-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 36 | 8-19 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 7 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 33 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 8-10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 12 | - |
| T. Smith | 29 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| L. Willingham | 23 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Miller | 22 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Y. Oga | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 13 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| B. Farris | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| L. Sanders | 6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Penicheiro | 27 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 10-15 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| K. Lawson | 27 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| N. Powell | 27 | 4-14 | 2-9 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | - |
| R. Brunson | 26 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| S. Dorrell | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A. Williams-Strong | 19 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| L. Harper | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| C. Kelly | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Newton | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| A. Franklin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter