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Portland

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Portland Pilots, Portland
Program History
Coach: Eric Reveno

2012 Team Stats (5 games)

58.0
PPG
77.2
Opp
-19.2
Margin
41.3%
FG%
34.5%
3P%
66.1%
FT%
32.4
RPG
11.0
APG
16.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
64.0
Adj PPG
71.4
Adj Opp PPG
#283
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 843 (#256) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 815 (#294) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More → 869 (#324) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → -7.5 (#279) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → -8.7 (#291) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.122 (#324) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.3 More → 0.256 (#259) AdjNet -9.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.3 More → 0.255 (#257) AdjNet -9.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 71.4 More → 0.337 (#283) AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 71.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.1 | AdjD 70.1 More → 0.327 (#312) AdjO 62.1 | AdjD 70.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.278 (#286) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.276 (#289) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 162 | GP 27 More → 809 (#292) RD 162 | GP 27

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-12 @ Florida Atlantic Owls W 70 - 65
2011-11-13 vs Georgia State Panthers W 66 - 61
2011-11-14 @ Washington Huskies L 63 - 93
2011-11-20 vs Washington State Cougars L 73 - 83
2011-11-22 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos L 69 - 83
2011-11-26 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 63 - 87
2011-11-29 vs Lewis & Clark River Otters W 76 - 64
2011-12-03 @ Saint Louis Billikens L 53 - 73
2011-12-07 @ Boise State Broncos L 70 - 92
2011-12-10 vs Ohio Bobcats L 54 - 72
2011-12-17 vs Montana Grizzlies L 65 - 80
2011-12-19 @ Utah Utes L 67 - 72
2011-12-22 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 60 - 78
2011-12-28 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 51 - 90
2012-01-05 vs Santa Clara Broncos W 84 - 74
2012-01-07 vs Pepperdine Waves W 53 - 43
2012-01-12 @ San Francisco Dons L 70 - 104
2012-01-14 @ Saint Mary's Gaels L 61 - 69
2012-01-19 vs San Diego Toreros L 63 - 82
2012-01-21 vs San Francisco Dons L 71 - 72
2012-01-26 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs L 62 - 74
2012-01-28 @ Loyola Marymount Lions L 59 - 62
2012-02-02 @ Santa Clara Broncos W 84 - 78
2012-02-04 vs BYU Cougars L 60 - 79
2012-02-09 vs Loyola Marymount Lions L 62 - 76
2012-02-16 @ San Diego Toreros L 75 - 78
2012-02-18 @ Pepperdine Waves L 65 - 70
2012-02-23 vs Saint Mary's Gaels L 43 - 70
2012-02-25 @ BYU Cougars L 66 - 76
2012-02-29 vs Santa Clara Broncos W 74 - 70
2012-03-01 @ San Francisco Dons L 66 - 87

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ryan Nicholas Ryan Nicholas F 31 28.4 11.5 7.6 1.1 0.4 0.2 1.7 3.9 15.1 -200 26 -7.7 -11.9 48.4 50.0 72.7 -1.87 126.3 49.6
Kevin Bailey Kevin Bailey G 31 21.7 9.5 2.1 1.1 0.6 0.6 2.1 3.3 8.5 -159 26 -6.1 -12.1 43.1 36.7 78.1 -0.63 126.2 48.5
Tim Douglas Tim Douglas G 31 23.1 8.5 1.8 3.0 0.6 0.0 3.1 2.8 7.9 -197 26 -7.6 -14.4 39.1 12.5 84.1 -1.73 123.2 40.8
Nemanja Mitrovic Nemanja Mitrovic G 31 21.8 7.9 3.1 1.3 0.5 0.0 2.0 3.5 7.3 -186 26 -7.2 -14.8 33.9 31.7 94.1 -2.19 105.6 42.7
Thomas van der Mars Thomas van der Mars C 31 25.0 7.7 5.4 0.7 0.5 0.9 1.4 2.8 11.1 -186 26 -7.2 -12.5 50.0 0 60.0 -1.17 121.0 50.0
Tanner Riley Tanner Riley G 28 16.9 6.2 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.2 1.1 2.5 5.0 -81 23 -3.5 -8.7 42.0 40.5 100.0 0.11 121.5 54.3
Dorian Cason Dorian Cason C 31 18.1 4.6 4.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.8 7.4 -149 26 -5.7 -14.7 45.5 41.2 63.0 -2.31 106.2 51.8
Derrick Rodgers Derrick Rodgers G 31 17.7 3.8 1.6 1.8 0.4 0.0 1.5 1.1 5.0 -100 26 -3.8 -9.7 37.1 0.0 65.0 1.55 135.8 37.1
David Carr David Carr G 31 17.8 3.7 1.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.8 2.1 3.7 -85 25 -3.4 -9.2 31.8 33.3 66.7 -0.87 84.7 39.4
Riley Barker Riley Barker C 7 15.3 2.0 3.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.7 0.7 5.3 -19 6 -3.2 -10.1 20.0 0 100.0 -0.03 119.0 20.0
Eric Waterford Eric Waterford G 14 7.4 1.5 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.0 0.6 0.9 2.4 -32 12 -2.7 -15.3 38.5 0.0 75.0 -2.98 57.4 38.5
John Bailey John Bailey F 25 4.8 1.1 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.6 6 22 0.3 2.8 40.0 0 33.3 1.27 76.5 40.0
Korey Thieleke Korey Thieleke G 13 3.1 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 -14 10 -1.4 -21.4 20.0 0.0 50.0 -2.4 76.5 20.0
Taylor Mossman Taylor Mossman G 2 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 - - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 26.6 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG