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2011-11-26

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 2.9% 97.1% -
Bradley-Terry 4.2% 95.8% -
Margin 0.9% 99.1% +25.7 (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 6.3% 93.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +24 (87-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bailey 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Douglas * 30 5-12 0-2 2-2 4 4 0 0 4 12 4 -
T. van der Mars * 28 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 2 0 4 8 -
N. Mitrovic * 28 7-18 6-12 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 20 5 -
D. Rodgers * 23 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 0 3 -
R. Nicholas 22 2-6 0-1 0-0 6 2 0 0 2 4 4 -
T. Riley 21 5-7 4-6 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 14 9 -
D. Cason 17 1-3 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 3 3 1 -
R. Barker 12 0-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
D. Carr 11 0-3 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 -1 -
K. Bailey 8 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Teague * 34 4-12 1-4 5-6 1 8 4 0 0 14 15 -
M. Kidd-Gilchrist * 33 4-8 0-2 3-6 7 3 2 2 2 11 15 -
T. Jones * 31 6-11 2-2 5-6 4 3 2 2 0 19 19 -
A. Davis * 30 5-9 0-0 3-8 12 1 2 4 0 13 23 -
D. Lamb * 27 1-6 0-2 7-7 4 4 1 0 0 9 12 -
D. Miller 23 7-11 4-5 1-2 5 1 0 1 1 19 14 -
K. Wiltjer 15 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
E. Vargas 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Long 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Polson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
S. Malone 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter