Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | San Francisco Dons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.1% | 87.9% | +12.7 | ✓ (21.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.8% | 89.2% | +11.6 | ✓ (22.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Francisco Dons +34 (104-70). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Nicholas * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Tim Douglas * | 27 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Thomas van der Mars * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Kevin Bailey * | 21 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Nemanja Mitrovic * | 18 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Dorian Cason | 24 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| David Carr | 17 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Tanner Riley | 17 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Eric Waterford | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Korey Thieleke | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| John Bailey | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Derrick Rodgers | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Taylor Mossman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Doolin * | 31 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Michael Williams * | 28 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Rashad Green * | 26 | 8-9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Perris Blackwell * | 25 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Angelo Caloiaro * | 16 | 6-6 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Cole Dickerson | 20 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Dominique O'Connor | 18 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Justin Raffington | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Gavin Hoffmann | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jay Wey | 4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Khalil Murphy | 4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Chris Adams | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Avery Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter