Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.9% | 94.1% | +15.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +22 (92-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Riley * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. van der Mars * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| R. Nicholas * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 20 | - |
| D. Rodgers * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| K. Bailey * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| T. Douglas | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 22 | - |
| D. Cason | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| N. Mitrovic | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| E. Waterford | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Carr | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Thieleke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Bailey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Drmic * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 30 | - |
| R. Watkins * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 29 | - |
| W. Perryman * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 21 | - |
| J. Elorriaga * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| T. Bropleh * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| D. Wiley | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| D. Marks | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 22 | - |
| I. Hadziomerovic | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| K. Buckner | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Nichols | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Crayton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter