Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Pepperdine Waves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.7% | 68.3% | +4.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pepperdine Waves +5 (70-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Bailey * | 31 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 6 | - |
| R. Nicholas * | 30 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. Riley * | 30 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| T. van der Mars * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| D. Rodgers * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Carr | 22 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| D. Cason | 19 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| T. Douglas | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Bailey | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| N. Mitrovic | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Darby * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| J. Lowery * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| J. Baker * | 32 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 6 | - |
| C. Willis * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| C. Moore * | 31 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| M. Ochenje | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| N. Skouen | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| H. Harold | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Branning | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Eaton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter