Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Pepperdine Waves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.2% | 66.8% | +3.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.9% | 70.1% | +4.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pepperdine Waves +5 (70-65). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Bailey * | 31 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Nicholas * | 30 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Tanner Riley * | 30 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Thomas van der Mars * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Derrick Rodgers * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| David Carr | 22 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Dorian Cason | 19 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Tim Douglas | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| John Bailey | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Nemanja Mitrovic | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Darby * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Joshua Lowery * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Baker * | 32 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Caleb Willis * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Corbin Moore * | 31 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Manny Ochenje | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Nikolas Skouen | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Hector Harold | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Richard Branning | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ramon Eaton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter