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2012-02-29

Model Predictions

Model Santa Clara Broncos Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 85.4% 14.6% -
Bradley-Terry 63.0% 37.0% -
Margin 72.5% 27.5% -5.3 (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 59.2% 40.8% -
Efficiency 77.3% 22.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.8% 38.2% -
Log Adjusted 62.4% 37.6% -

Actual: Portland Pilots +4 (74-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Roquemore * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 21 27 -
R. Cowels III * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 11 15 -
N. Harrison * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 15 20 -
D. Johnson * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 10 13 -
Y. Atanga * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 -
B. Clark 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 3 0 0 7 14 -
J. Akwenuke 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 4 9 -
R. Garrett 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 2 5 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Carr * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 6 0 0 2 6 14 -
T. Riley * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 2 2 12 16 -
R. Nicholas * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 3 0 0 2 24 36 -
T. van der Mars * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 4 0 5 15 -
K. Bailey * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 13 16 -
T. Douglas 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 7 8 -
D. Cason 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 5 -
N. Mitrovic 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 3 1 -
J. Bailey 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
D. Rodgers 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter