Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.0% | 93.0% | +14.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +18 (78-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Nicholas * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 16 | - |
| K. Bailey * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| T. Douglas * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 13 | - |
| T. van der Mars * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| N. Mitrovic * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Carr | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Cason | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| E. Waterford | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Bailey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Thieleke | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Rodgers | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Riley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Evans, Jr. * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 15 | - |
| M. Story * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 12 | - |
| O. Czyz * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| D. Hunt * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 28 | - |
| D. Burton * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| P. Nyeko | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Finn | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| D. Elliott | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| K. Fuetsch | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K. Panzer | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| B. Crook | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Burris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter