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Portland Pilots 67
@
Utah Utes 72
2011-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Utah Utes Spread Result
Elo 12.9% 87.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 14.8% 85.2% - ✓
Margin 7.8% 92.2% +13.6 ✓ (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 61.3% 38.7% - ✗
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 56.2% 43.8% - ✗
Log Adjusted 56.3% 43.7% - ✗

Actual: Utah Utes +5 (72-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. van der Mars * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 10 14 -
K. Bailey * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 6 11 -
D. Rodgers * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 4 4 -
R. Nicholas 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 13 16 -
N. Mitrovic 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 1 4 14 18 -
T. Douglas 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 4 7 7 -
D. Cason 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 7 12 -
D. Carr 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 3 0 1 6 14 -
T. Riley 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Martin * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 11 19 -
J. Watkins * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 6 2 1 4 26 33 -
J. Washburn * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 2 1 18 26 -
C. Hines * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 4 7 -
D. Farr * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 9 15 -
J. Dawson 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
K. Storey 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 0 4 -
B. Wilkinson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Odunsi 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter