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2011-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 1.7% 98.3% -
Bradley-Terry 4.0% 96.0% -
Margin 0.7% 99.3% +27.4 (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 7.2% 92.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +39 (90-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Nicholas * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 1 1 0 1 4 18 -
T. Douglas * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 10 14 -
T. van der Mars * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 0 9 15 -
N. Mitrovic * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 10 10 -
K. Bailey * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 2 0 -
T. Riley 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 5 3 -
D. Carr 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 5 8 -
D. Cason 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 2 6 13 -
K. Thieleke 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 0 4 -
J. Bailey 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Rodgers 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 0 -2 -
E. Waterford 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 0 2 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Bell Jr. * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 2 6 12 -
K. Pangos * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 19 22 -
E. Harris * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 0 5 13 -
R. Sacre * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 13 18 -
M. Hart * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 4 -
R. Spangler 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 11 17 -
G. Edi 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 1 3 9 15 -
S. Dower 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 15 21 -
M. Carter 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 2 0 0 2 10 -
D. Stockton 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 0 6 13 -
M. Keita 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 1 1 -
M. Monninghoff 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 3 5 -

* = starter