Model Predictions
| Model | Santa Clara Broncos | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.3% | 61.7% | +2.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.2% | 57.8% | +1.7 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Pilots +10 (84-74). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Roquemore * | 31 | 5-16 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Kevin Foster * | 31 | 4-14 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Raymond Cowels III * | 25 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| John McArthur * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Yannick Atanga * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Niyi Harrison | 28 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Clark | 26 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Jordan Akwenuke | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Julian Clarke | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Denzel Johnson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Robert Garrett | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nemanja Mitrovic * | 33 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Tim Douglas * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Kevin Bailey * | 28 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Thomas van der Mars * | 15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| John Bailey * | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Nicholas | 34 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Dorian Cason | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| David Carr | 17 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Derrick Rodgers | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter