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2012-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Santa Clara Broncos Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 85.4% 14.6% -
Bradley-Terry 63.0% 37.0% -
Margin 72.5% 27.5% -5.3 (15.3 off)
Pythagorean 59.2% 40.8% -
Efficiency 77.3% 22.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.8% 38.2% -
Log Adjusted 62.4% 37.6% -

Actual: Portland Pilots +10 (84-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Roquemore * 31 5-16 1-4 4-6 2 3 3 0 1 15 6 -
K. Foster * 31 4-14 3-8 1-2 2 2 2 1 0 12 5 -
R. Cowels III * 25 2-2 1-1 0-1 2 1 1 0 0 5 7 -
J. McArthur * 19 1-5 0-0 1-3 5 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
Y. Atanga * 11 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
N. Harrison 28 6-13 0-0 7-8 5 0 1 1 2 19 11 -
B. Clark 26 5-8 1-3 5-6 2 5 0 0 0 16 15 -
J. Akwenuke 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 5 -
J. Clarke 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
D. Johnson 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. Garrett 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Mitrovic * 33 2-10 1-5 6-6 5 5 0 0 5 11 6 -
T. Douglas * 31 2-6 0-0 7-8 2 8 0 0 4 11 11 -
K. Bailey * 28 3-5 1-1 2-2 3 1 0 1 1 9 8 -
T. van der Mars * 15 4-7 0-0 2-2 7 1 2 0 1 10 12 -
J. Bailey * 10 3-4 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 0 7 9 -
R. Nicholas 34 6-9 0-0 7-8 11 1 0 1 0 19 23 -
D. Cason 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 0 4 -
D. Carr 17 4-6 2-4 1-1 3 0 1 0 2 11 7 -
D. Rodgers 15 2-3 0-0 2-6 1 1 0 0 1 6 4 -

* = starter