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2011-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 47.5% 52.5% -
Bradley-Terry 60.6% 39.4% -
Margin 54.7% 45.3% -1.0 (14.0 off)
Pythagorean 84.9% 15.1% -
Efficiency 17.1% 82.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 86.8% 13.2% -
Log Adjusted 86.2% 13.8% -

Actual: Portland Pilots -15 (65-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Selvig * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 1 1 3 1 15 31 -
K. Jamar * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 7 1 1 0 15 27 -
W. Cherry * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 4 3 0 3 20 33 -
A. Steward * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 10 12 -
M. Ward * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 9 9 -
S. Stockton 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 9 13 -
B. Reader 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Wood 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 3 -
K. Deshields 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Gregory 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Henderson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Hutchison 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Hutchison 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Nicholas * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 14 20 -
D. Rodgers * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 1 6 11 -
K. Bailey * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 3 1 7 13 -
T. van der Mars * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 2 5 10 -
T. Riley * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
N. Mitrovic 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 4 11 11 -
T. Douglas 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 3 18 24 -
D. Cason 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 3 0 2 13 -
E. Waterford 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
J. Bailey 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Carr 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Thieleke 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter