Model Predictions
| Model | Pepperdine Waves | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.2% | 58.8% | +2.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Pilots +10 (53-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Moore * | 38 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | - |
| J. Lowery * | 37 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | - |
| T. Darby * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| C. Willis * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | - |
| H. Harold * | 17 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Baker | 31 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| R. Eaton | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| N. Skouen | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Nicholas * | 30 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| K. Bailey * | 29 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| T. van der Mars * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| N. Mitrovic * | 25 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| T. Douglas * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Carr | 23 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Cason | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Rodgers | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| J. Bailey | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| E. Waterford | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Riley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter