Model Predictions
| Model | Pepperdine Waves | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.8% | 61.2% | +2.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.4% | 57.6% | +1.7 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Pilots +10 (53-43). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corbin Moore * | 38 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Joshua Lowery * | 37 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Taylor Darby * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Caleb Willis * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Hector Harold * | 17 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jordan Baker | 31 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Ramon Eaton | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Nikolas Skouen | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Nicholas * | 30 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Kevin Bailey * | 29 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Thomas van der Mars * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Nemanja Mitrovic * | 25 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Tim Douglas * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| David Carr | 23 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Dorian Cason | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Derrick Rodgers | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| John Bailey | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Eric Waterford | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tanner Riley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter