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2011-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Washington Huskies Spread Result
Elo 7.9% 92.1% -
Bradley-Terry 13.2% 86.8% -
Margin 7.1% 92.9% +14.1 (15.9 off)
Pythagorean 8.3% 91.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Washington Huskies +30 (93-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Douglas * 27 6-16 0-2 5-6 3 5 0 0 3 17 6 -
N. Mitrovic * 26 2-9 1-5 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 5 0 -
R. Barker * 24 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
D. Carr * 24 2-7 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 5 -4 -
R. Nicholas * 23 4-9 0-1 1-2 10 0 0 1 1 9 10 -
D. Rodgers 18 2-7 0-1 0-0 6 4 0 0 2 4 5 -
D. Cason 17 2-6 2-5 1-2 2 0 1 0 3 7 1 -
K. Bailey 16 2-6 0-1 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 5 0 -
T. van der Mars 14 3-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 6 8 -
K. Thieleke 5 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
J. Bailey 3 0-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
E. Waterford 3 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1 -

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Wilcox * 33 5-9 3-5 4-4 4 3 2 1 0 17 18 -
A. Gaddy * 27 6-8 2-3 1-1 5 5 0 0 1 15 16 -
T. Ross * 26 9-13 6-8 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 24 13 -
D. Gant * 22 5-8 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 0 10 9 -
A. N'Diaye * 18 5-9 0-0 1-4 7 1 1 1 3 11 9 -
T. Wroten 24 5-11 0-1 1-7 5 6 3 0 2 11 12 -
D. Simmons 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
S. Kemp Jr. 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 0 2 -
M. Breunig 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 -
H. Stewart 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 3 1 0 0 0 2 -
B. Sherrer 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
A. Wegner 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter