Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego Toreros | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.9% | 52.1% | -0.3 | ✗ (18.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.1% | 48.9% | -0.2 | ✓ (18.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Pilots -19 (63-82). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
San Diego Toreros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Dee * | 35 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Ken Rancifer * | 32 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Simi Fajemisin * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Christopher Anderson * | 21 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Dennis Kramer * | 20 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Chris Manresa | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Darian Norris | 19 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| John Sinis | 16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Cameron Miles | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Bailey * | 33 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 9-10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Thomas van der Mars * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Ryan Nicholas * | 28 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Nemanja Mitrovic * | 25 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Tim Douglas * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Dorian Cason | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Eric Waterford | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Derrick Rodgers | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| David Carr | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| John Bailey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter