🐻⬇️🏀

Portland Pilots

Also known as: Portland Pilots
Program History

2026 Team Stats (33 games)

74.5
PPG
79.1
Opp
-4.6
Margin
46.7%
FG%
29.8%
3P%
73.8%
FT%
33.6
RPG
16.6
APG
13.7
TO
80.0
Pace
73.7
AdjO
76.0
AdjD
#198
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 986 (#192) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 919 (#242) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 970 (#569) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -2.8 (#205) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +8.3 (#255) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.284 (#297) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -4.6 More → 0.363 (#208) NetEff -4.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.7 More → 0.395 (#208) AdjNet -3.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.7 More → 0.394 (#207) AdjNet -3.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 76.0 More → 0.446 (#198) AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 76.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.6 | AdjD 74.6 More → 0.409 (#600) AdjO 70.6 | AdjD 74.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.653 (#248) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.598 (#261) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 147 | GP 33 More → 1026 (#215) RD 147 | GP 33

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Willamette Bearcats W 120 - 83
2025-11-06 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 83 - 74
2025-11-09 vs UC Davis Aggies W 67 - 63
2025-11-15 @ Wyoming Cowboys L 56 - 93
2025-11-21 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans W 103 - 85
2025-11-22 vs Northern Colorado Bears L 80 - 86
2025-11-23 vs St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies L 66 - 76
2025-11-26 vs Long Beach State Beach W 93 - 73
2025-12-01 @ Stanford Cardinal L 72 - 94
2025-12-05 vs Lewis & Clark Pioneers W 104 - 87
2025-12-14 vs Kent State Golden Flashes W 88 - 78
2025-12-17 @ Oregon Ducks L 69 - 94
2025-12-22 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos L 61 - 79
2025-12-28 vs Washington State Cougars L 62 - 67
2025-12-30 vs Santa Clara Broncos L 85 - 92
2026-01-02 @ Saint Mary's Gaels L 57 - 78
2026-01-04 @ San Francisco Dons L 68 - 73
2026-01-08 vs Pacific Tigers W 90 - 89
2026-01-10 vs Oregon State Beavers W 82 - 76
2026-01-14 @ Pepperdine Waves L 63 - 67
2026-01-24 vs Saint Mary's Gaels L 69 - 75
2026-01-28 @ Pacific Tigers L 51 - 74
2026-01-31 @ Washington State Cougars L 74 - 104
2026-02-04 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs W 87 - 80
2026-02-07 vs Seattle U Redhawks W 54 - 53
2026-02-11 @ San Diego Toreros L 58 - 71
2026-02-18 vs Pepperdine Waves L 87 - 95
2026-02-21 @ Seattle U Redhawks L 59 - 71
2026-02-25 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 48 - 89
2026-02-28 vs San Diego Toreros W 87 - 74
2026-03-05 vs Pepperdine Waves W 77 - 68
2026-03-06 @ Washington State Cougars W 74 - 68
2026-03-07 @ San Francisco Dons L 65 - 82

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Joel Foxwell Joel Foxwell - 33 35.6 15.5 4.3 6.5 1.5 0.1 3.2 13.5 11.2 -82 -3.4 -4.8 39.2 31.9 81.7 -0.06 51.4 46.7
Timo George Timo George - 16 18.7 11.8 4.6 1.3 0.4 0.9 1.6 6.6 10.8 -26 -1.7 -4.8 69.5 18.2 71.4 -0.49 72.5 70.5
Cameron Williams Cameron Williams - 30 24.1 10.9 4.7 1.0 0.4 0.2 1.1 8.0 8.1 -99 -4.1 -7.6 51.0 27.5 79.8 -0.62 58.5 53.3
J. O'Donnell J. O'Donnell - 33 22.5 10.0 4.2 1.1 0.5 0.6 1.8 6.2 8.4 -56 -2.3 -5.3 65.0 0.0 60.0 -0.3 65.6 65.0
J. Ballisager Webb J. Ballisager Webb C 33 19.9 9.0 4.4 1.4 0.2 0.6 1.2 5.8 8.5 -107 -4.3 -65.6 52.3 36.1 70.5 -0.32 62.3 58.0
M. Ballew M. Ballew G 30 23.4 8.5 1.8 0.9 0.6 0.1 1.3 7.3 3.3 -48 -2.1 -3.8 33.9 32.2 81.1 -0.02 50.7 44.5
Garrett Nuckolls Garrett Nuckolls - 33 25.9 6.6 3.5 2.7 1.2 0.4 2.2 6.7 5.4 -26 -1.1 -2.4 38.3 16.7 83.3 0.39 45.1 41.0
M. Hronsky M. Hronsky - 30 18.2 5.5 1.9 0.9 0.5 0.2 1.0 5.0 3.1 -69 -3.3 -7.4 40.3 30.0 90.5 -0.41 52.5 49.3
Dante Censori-Hercules Dante Censori-Hercules - 32 20.3 3.3 3.4 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.6 2.3 6.3 -28 -1.2 -3.7 54.8 15.4 58.5 -0.11 58.2 56.2
N. Long N. Long - 14 9.8 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.6 5 0.6 3.9 50.0 55.6 50.0 -0.01 62.3 62.5
P. Lee P. Lee - 8 1.8 1.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.8 9 1.3 51.7 75.0 100.0 50.0 -0.04 82.0 87.5
K. Gebbers K. Gebbers G 15 5.2 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.9 20 1.8 17.2 41.7 22.2 50.0 0.1 50.9 50.0
S. Noland S. Noland - 13 4.1 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 - - - 50.0 0 83.3 -0.0 67.8 50.0
Carlin Briggs Carlin Briggs G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
R. Parker R. Parker G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -8 -8.0 -16.5 - - - -0.09 - -
Marchelo Moreira Marchelo Moreira G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG