Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Fullerton Titans | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.0% | 54.0% | +0.9 | ✓ (17.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 91.8% | 8.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Pilots +18 (103-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Williams * | 34 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | -3.1 |
| J. Ward * | 26 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | -16.9 |
| B. Cofield * | 23 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | -4.0 |
| J. De La Cruz Monegro * | 22 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | -9.9 |
| K. De Luna * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3.9 |
| J. Henderson | 26 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | -16.9 |
| L. Seaman | 24 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | -12.9 |
| K. Garris | 20 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6.9 |
| D. White | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -12.9 |
| B. Winker | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Quinlan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Foxwell * | 33 | 9-13 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 19 | +13.8 |
| G. Nuckolls * | 31 | 8-11 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 17 | +11.9 |
| J. O'Donnell * | 25 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 17 | +9.7 |
| C. Williams * | 13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3.1 |
| M. Hronsky * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | +8.8 |
| M. Ballew | 28 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 7 | +7.9 |
| T. George | 23 | 6-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | +19.7 |
| D. Censori-Hercules | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | +7.8 |
| J. Ballisager Webb | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| P. Lee | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter