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2026-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Pepperdine Waves Spread Result
Elo 65.9% 34.1% -
Bradley-Terry 54.1% 45.9% -
Margin 55.6% 44.4% -1.2 (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 56.5% 43.5% -
Efficiency 95.9% 4.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.3% 35.7% -
Log Adjusted 64.2% 35.8% -
Points Off/Def 51.2% 48.8% -

Actual: Pepperdine Waves +4 (67-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Foxwell 38 4-14 2-8 0-0 4 10 3 0 3 10 10 +3.6
C. Williams 31 5-12 1-2 3-5 12 0 1 0 0 14 15 +0.3
D. Censori-Hercules 28 2-4 0-2 0-0 6 5 1 1 0 4 13 +2.5
M. Ballew 27 3-10 3-10 0-0 5 1 2 0 2 9 5 +4.8
J. Ballisager Webb 20 3-5 0-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 6 5 +3.6
J. O'Donnell 20 5-7 0-0 3-4 3 2 0 0 3 13 8 -3.3
M. Hronsky 16 1-8 1-7 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 3 -5 +5.6
G. Nuckolls 12 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 4 0 -0.1
N. Long 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.1

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Dožic 36 4-8 1-4 0-2 4 1 1 0 0 9 7 -
S. Phipps 36 5-11 1-2 5-7 6 1 4 0 3 16 13 -0.7
A. Clark 36 6-14 2-6 4-7 8 4 1 0 3 18 14 +2.2
Y. Levy 33 4-5 1-2 2-2 5 1 1 0 2 11 11 +4.1
J. Cooley 27 2-9 0-6 1-2 5 2 1 0 3 5 1 -13.1
D. Mager 17 3-4 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 8 6 +2.9
P. Stošic 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Cicic 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1.0
L. Vudragovic 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -7.0

* = starter