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2026-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Saint Mary's Gaels Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 74.1% 25.9% -
Bradley-Terry 86.7% 13.3% -
Margin 95.4% 4.6% -16.7 (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 72.3% 27.7% -
Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.2% 4.8% -
Log Adjusted 95.2% 4.8% -
Points Off/Def 81.0% 19.0% -

Actual: Portland Pilots -6 (69-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Mary's Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Dent 40 4-7 3-5 2-2 2 7 0 0 2 13 13 +4.4
P. Murauskas 35 7-18 1-3 9-9 9 2 0 0 4 24 13 +1.2
M. Lewis 28 5-9 3-7 2-2 1 2 2 0 1 15 10 +4.0
D. Shaw 25 3-5 2-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 8 5 +3.3
A. McKeever 21 2-6 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 0 1 4 6 -1.8
H. Wessels 21 2-4 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 2 2 4 11 +8.0
R. Hawke 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 +0.5
L. Campbell 11 1-3 0-0 3-5 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 -0.7
M. Juzenas 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -0.5

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Foxwell 39 8-22 4-10 7-7 3 5 1 0 3 27 11 +0.7
G. Nuckolls 34 2-5 1-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 5 4 +2.9
J. Ballisager Webb 30 1-4 0-0 2-2 6 3 0 1 1 4 9 -5.7
C. Williams 30 3-10 0-2 4-4 5 0 1 1 0 10 7 -0.5
J. O'Donnell 26 9-9 0-0 0-2 5 1 2 1 0 18 18 -0.5
N. Long 21 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 3 0 +0.3
D. Censori-Hercules 18 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 1 2 0 0 2 4 -6.4
K. Gebbers 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.7
S. Noland 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter