Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 95.4% | 4.6% | -16.7 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.2% | 4.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.2% | 4.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Pilots -6 (69-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Dent | 40 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | +4.4 |
| P. Murauskas | 35 | 7-18 | 1-3 | 9-9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 13 | +1.2 |
| M. Lewis | 28 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +4.0 |
| D. Shaw | 25 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +3.3 |
| A. McKeever | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -1.8 |
| H. Wessels | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | +8.0 |
| R. Hawke | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +0.5 |
| L. Campbell | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -0.7 |
| M. Juzenas | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.5 |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Foxwell | 39 | 8-22 | 4-10 | 7-7 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 11 | +0.7 |
| G. Nuckolls | 34 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +2.9 |
| J. Ballisager Webb | 30 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -5.7 |
| C. Williams | 30 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | -0.5 |
| J. O'Donnell | 26 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 18 | -0.5 |
| N. Long | 21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +0.3 |
| D. Censori-Hercules | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -6.4 |
| K. Gebbers | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.7 |
| S. Noland | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter