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2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Seattle U Redhawks Spread Result
Elo 32.2% 67.8% -
Bradley-Terry 21.9% 78.1% -
Margin 15.8% 84.2% +9.2 (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 30.0% 70.0% -
Efficiency 2.4% 97.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.1% 84.9% -
Log Adjusted 14.9% 85.1% -
Points Off/Def 28.8% 71.2% -

Actual: Seattle U Redhawks +12 (71-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Foxwell 39 5-12 4-8 6-6 3 3 3 0 4 20 13 -
G. Nuckolls 33 3-10 0-3 4-4 3 2 0 0 4 10 1 -
J. O'Donnell 29 3-3 0-0 8-8 2 1 1 1 4 14 12 -
D. Censori-Hercules 28 0-1 0-1 2-6 4 0 3 0 0 2 8 -
J. Ballisager Webb 24 3-7 0-2 4-5 7 0 1 1 4 10 8 -
N. Long 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Ballew 15 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 -2 -
M. Hronsky 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
K. Gebbers 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
S. Noland 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Seattle U Redhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Murphy 38 4-11 1-4 2-2 7 4 4 0 2 11 13 -
W. Heimbrodt 27 1-8 0-2 9-12 8 2 2 2 1 11 16 -
J. Christofilis 27 5-14 4-9 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 14 3 -
M. Arington 24 1-5 1-4 3-4 2 6 2 0 0 6 11 -
J. Yeo 24 2-8 1-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 5 -6 -
H. Dan 22 3-4 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 7 4 -
A. Maurer 19 5-6 2-2 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 14 12 -
M. Amos 16 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 3 5 -
R. Adams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Y. Kawashima 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Papastavrou 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter