Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Seattle U Redhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.1% | 82.9% | +10.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.5% | 84.5% | +9.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle U Redhawks +12 (71-59). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Foxwell * | 39 | 5-12 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | +7.1 |
| Garrett Nuckolls * | 33 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | +9.5 |
| James O'Donnell * | 29 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 12 | +8.3 |
| Dante Censori-Hercules * | 28 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -0.9 |
| Jermaine Ballisager Webb * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 8 | -8.6 |
| NaVaughn Long | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.5 |
| Mikah Ballew | 15 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | -1.8 |
| Matus Hronsky | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +4.5 |
| Kelson Gebbers | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +2.7 |
| Samuel Noland | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Seattle U Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jojo Murphy * | 38 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | -7.2 |
| John Christofilis * | 27 | 5-14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +3.4 |
| Maleek Arington * | 24 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | +0.2 |
| J. Yeo * | 24 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -6 | -4.1 |
| Austin Maurer * | 19 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | +5.9 |
| Will Heimbrodt | 27 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 9-12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 16 | -4.3 |
| Houran Dan | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -11.9 |
| Miles Amos | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -6.1 |
| Stratos Papastavrou | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ray Adams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Yuto Kawashima | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter