Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | San Francisco Dons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.9% | 82.1% | +8.4 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Francisco Dons +5 (73-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Foxwell | 40 | 7-13 | 1-6 | 5-7 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | -8.8 |
| M. Hronsky | 29 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -3.4 |
| M. Ballew | 28 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -2 | -2.2 |
| G. Nuckolls | 28 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -11.8 |
| C. Williams | 26 | 8-10 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 18 | +7.4 |
| J. Ballisager Webb | 21 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. O'Donnell | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -1 | +2.3 |
| D. Censori-Hercules | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -7.7 |
| K. Gebbers | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -1.0 |
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ry. Beasley | 37 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | +18.2 |
| T. Riley IV | 34 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +7.9 |
| V. Abosi | 29 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 23 | +2.1 |
| L. Smiley | 22 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | -2.8 |
| D. Fuchs | 21 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 6-14 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 14 | -13.6 |
| G. Diaz Graham | 19 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +23.5 |
| V. Masic | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | +2.5 |
| S. Gigiberia | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | +8.7 |
| J. Wang | 7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | -9.2 |
| A. Braccia | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +6.8 |
* = starter