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2026-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 10.3% 89.7% -
Bradley-Terry 5.4% 94.6% -
Margin 0.6% 99.4% +28.1 (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 20.2% 79.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 7.0% 93.0% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +41 (89-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Foxwell 35 4-12 2-6 2-3 4 0 4 0 5 12 3 -
G. Nuckolls 30 4-11 0-2 1-1 2 1 0 0 2 9 -1 -
J. Ballisager Webb 29 1-7 0-3 3-4 6 1 1 0 6 5 0 -
D. Censori-Hercules 29 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 4 0 0 2 4 6 -
J. O'Donnell 27 3-4 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 0 2 8 8 -
M. Hronsky 16 3-8 2-6 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 8 2 -
M. Ballew 11 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
N. Long 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
K. Gebbers 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
S. Noland 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. George 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Ike 31 7-13 3-6 2-2 8 1 7 1 3 19 20 -
D. Fogle 26 3-6 0-2 0-0 4 6 0 2 3 6 9 -
M. Saint-Supéry 26 4-7 4-7 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 12 8 -
E. Innocenti 24 2-6 1-4 3-3 4 3 1 0 0 8 10 -
A. Miller 23 2-7 1-4 1-2 1 4 1 0 0 6 5 -
B. Smith 20 6-6 3-3 0-0 3 4 2 0 1 15 17 -
T. Grant-Foster 17 5-11 0-5 2-3 4 2 0 1 1 12 7 -
S. Venters 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
I. Diagne 9 1-1 0-0 1-1 4 0 1 0 1 3 6 -
N. Haaland 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
J. ArauzMoore 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
C. Orness 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter