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2026-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 3.5% 96.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 6.0% 94.0% - โœ“
Margin 0.6% 99.4% +28.1 โœ“ (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 20.2% 79.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 7.3% 92.7% - โœ“

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +41 (89-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joel Foxwell 35 4-12 2-6 2-3 4 0 4 0 5 12 3 -19.0
Garrett Nuckolls 30 4-11 0-2 1-1 2 1 0 0 2 9 -1 -15.4
Jermaine Ballisager Webb 29 1-7 0-3 3-4 6 1 1 0 6 5 0 -26.1
Dante Censori-Hercules 29 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 4 0 0 2 4 6 -3.7
James O'Donnell 27 3-4 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 0 2 8 8 -12.7
Matus Hronsky 16 3-8 2-6 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 8 2 +0.0
Mikah Ballew 11 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -6.1
NaVaughn Long 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -12.1
Kelson Gebbers 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -12.0
Samuel Noland 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Timo George 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Graham Ike 31 7-13 3-6 2-2 8 1 7 1 3 19 20 +18.2
M. Saint-Supรฉry 26 4-7 4-7 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 12 8 +10.4
Davis Fogle 26 3-6 0-2 0-0 4 6 0 2 3 6 9 +17.1
Emmanuel Innocenti 24 2-6 1-4 3-3 4 3 1 0 0 8 10 +17.9
Adam Miller 23 2-7 1-4 1-2 1 4 1 0 0 6 5 +13.2
Braeden Smith 20 6-6 3-3 0-0 3 4 2 0 1 15 17 +14.7
Tyon Grant-Foster 17 5-11 0-5 2-3 4 2 0 1 1 12 7 +13.6
Steele Venters 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 3 +6.8
Ismaila Diagne 9 1-1 0-0 1-1 4 0 1 0 1 3 6 +5.0
Noah Haaland 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 +0.0
Cade Orness 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Joaquim ArauzMoore 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter