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2025-11-26

Model Predictions

Model Long Beach State Beach Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 22.8% 77.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 26.9% 73.1% - โœ“
Margin 28.8% 71.2% +5.0 โœ“ (15.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 49.1% 50.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 33.0% 67.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 32.9% 67.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.1% 61.9% - โœ“

Actual: Portland Pilots +20 (93-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Long Beach State Beach

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Petar Majstorovic * 29 9-16 2-6 3-4 4 2 1 0 2 23 12 +6.8
Gavin Sykes * 28 5-10 1-5 0-0 5 4 0 0 1 11 9 +0.4
Cole Farrell * 27 5-11 1-4 2-2 2 2 1 0 2 13 5 -8.7
Isaiah Lewis * 19 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 -3 +1.6
Leopold Levillain * 8 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 2 +8.5
Rob Diaz 23 2-5 0-1 2-2 3 3 1 0 3 6 5 -4.1
Demarshay Johnson Jr. 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 +0.1
Christian Jones 13 2-3 2-3 6-7 1 1 1 0 0 12 12 -1.9
Dallas Washington 12 2-3 0-1 0-3 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -8.0
Shaquil Bender 10 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 1 0 1 2 3 -1 -4.0
D. Xzavierro 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -13.6
JJ Chaikovsky 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.7

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joel Foxwell * 33 7-10 3-5 2-2 5 7 2 0 3 19 20 -0.9
Mikah Ballew * 30 3-6 1-2 0-0 4 4 2 1 3 7 9 +13.3
Matus Hronsky * 23 5-6 2-3 4-4 1 3 1 0 1 16 14 -5.9
James O'Donnell * 20 6-8 0-0 3-3 5 1 0 0 1 15 12 -0.8
Cameron Williams * 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 1 +0.8
Timo George 23 8-10 0-0 3-5 6 4 1 2 4 19 18 +0.8
Garrett Nuckolls 22 2-5 0-2 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 6 5 +3.1
Jermaine Ballisager Webb 16 3-3 0-0 3-3 0 3 0 0 0 9 9 +7.2
Dante Censori-Hercules 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.6
Kelson Gebbers 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 4 +0.1
Preston Lee 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.4

* = starter