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2025-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Santa Clara Broncos Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 79.4% 20.6% -
Bradley-Terry 78.6% 21.4% -
Margin 94.3% 5.7% -15.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 70.8% 29.2% -
Efficiency 92.6% 7.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.2% 5.8% -
Log Adjusted 94.2% 5.8% -
Points Off/Def 78.7% 21.3% -

Actual: Portland Pilots -7 (85-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Ensminger 32 3-7 0-3 2-2 5 3 1 0 0 8 10 +12.1
E. Mahi 32 9-13 2-5 2-2 2 1 1 1 2 22 12 +7.8
C. Hammond 30 5-10 1-4 3-4 3 5 2 0 1 14 13 -
B. Knapper 29 5-10 4-7 2-2 1 3 3 0 3 16 10 +8.4
A. Graves 25 3-6 0-0 3-5 10 3 1 0 0 9 17 +7.8
T. Darlan 18 5-9 2-4 2-2 2 2 1 0 2 14 8 +2.4
B. Oboye 17 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 6 4 +1.7
S. Gavalyugov 11 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 3 2 -0.4
KJ Cochran 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Foxwell 38 7-15 5-10 1-2 2 15 3 0 3 20 22 -1.1
C. Williams 31 6-8 0-1 5-6 5 0 0 0 4 17 10 -8.2
M. Ballew 22 2-8 1-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 5 -1 -11.3
G. Nuckolls 21 2-6 1-2 0-0 0 3 3 0 3 5 2 -3.2
J. O'Donnell 20 3-3 0-0 2-4 2 1 0 2 1 8 9 -8.5
M. Hronsky 19 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 4 1 -7.6
J. Ballisager Webb 19 4-5 0-0 2-2 5 2 0 2 0 10 14 +0.5
D. Censori-Hercules 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -4.5
T. George 12 7-7 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 0 1 14 11 +4.3

* = starter