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2026-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 93.2% 6.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 89.7% 10.3% - โœ—
Margin 98.6% 1.4% -23.6 โœ— (30.6 off)
Pythagorean 73.8% 26.2% - โœ—
Efficiency 96.4% 3.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 96.4% 3.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 96.5% 3.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 88.0% 12.0% - โœ—

Actual: Portland Pilots +7 (87-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Graham Ike 35 9-16 1-2 5-7 10 3 1 1 1 24 22 -17.2
Davis Fogle 25 4-9 1-3 1-2 4 3 0 2 0 10 10 -0.2
Tyon Grant-Foster 24 2-6 0-1 5-8 5 3 2 1 3 9 11 -5.1
M. Saint-Supรฉry 23 4-10 4-8 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 12 4 -5.9
Steele Venters 22 2-8 2-7 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 6 -2 -4.3
Jalen Warley 20 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 3 1 0 2 3 4 -19.0
Braeden Smith 19 2-4 1-3 4-4 3 1 3 0 1 9 11 -12.9
Adam Miller 16 2-5 1-3 2-3 0 3 0 0 0 7 5 -19.8
Emmanuel Innocenti 14 0-5 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -17.9
Ismaila Diagne 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.1

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joel Foxwell 39 11-18 3-8 2-4 4 8 1 0 4 27 18 +27.5
Garrett Nuckolls 37 4-10 0-2 3-4 5 4 1 1 3 11 9 +29.7
Dante Censori-Hercules 32 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 2 0 1 2 3 6 +27.3
Jermaine Ballisager Webb 30 4-5 2-3 3-3 9 5 0 0 4 13 18 +17.9
Cameron Williams 22 5-9 1-2 3-3 1 0 0 1 0 14 7 +16.6
James O'Donnell 18 6-8 0-0 4-4 3 2 0 0 1 16 12 +3.2
NaVaughn Long 11 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 2 -1.5
Matus Hronsky 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +4.6
Mikah Ballew 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.4
Samuel Noland 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter