Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.1% | 41.9% | -1.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Pilots -6 (80-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Denker * | 43 | 8-14 | 3-4 | 10-10 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 24 | +4.6 |
| B. Wisne * | 38 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +0.6 |
| I. Yamazaki * | 36 | 4-10 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | -2.1 |
| Z. Bloch * | 28 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +9.8 |
| R. Nyeri * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -3.4 |
| E. Shields | 28 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 22 | +13.6 |
| V. Delano | 23 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | +2.5 |
| A. Mawien | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2.0 |
| T. Braketa | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Foxwell * | 33 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | -5.7 |
| J. O'Donnell * | 33 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4.0 |
| C. Williams * | 31 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | -7.4 |
| M. Hronsky * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | -0.1 |
| G. Nuckolls * | 29 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | -4.5 |
| M. Ballew | 29 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | -3.6 |
| T. George | 18 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | -4.1 |
| D. Censori-Hercules | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4.0 |
| J. Ballisager Webb | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter