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2026-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 42.1% 57.9% -
Bradley-Terry 28.5% 71.5% -
Margin 17.9% 82.1% +8.4 (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 33.0% 67.0% -
Efficiency 30.6% 69.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.6% 82.4% -
Log Adjusted 17.4% 82.6% -
Points Off/Def 30.0% 70.0% -

Actual: San Francisco Dons +17 (82-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Foxwell 38 6-17 2-9 2-3 2 6 0 0 3 16 4 -
G. Nuckolls 37 4-11 0-2 0-0 4 3 1 0 5 8 0 -
J. Ballisager Webb 25 4-9 0-1 3-4 3 0 0 0 2 11 3 -
D. Censori-Hercules 25 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
M. Ballew 22 3-7 0-3 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 6 3 -
J. O'Donnell 19 1-4 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 4 3 1 -
C. Williams 19 4-6 0-1 1-1 2 0 1 0 1 9 5 -
M. Hronsky 10 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
K. Gebbers 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Noland 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Riley IV 37 5-11 1-5 7-8 3 4 1 2 2 18 15 -
L. Smiley 33 3-7 1-5 1-2 2 6 3 0 1 8 11 -
D. Fuchs 28 8-13 0-2 7-10 16 0 1 0 1 23 26 -
Ry. Beasley 28 3-6 3-5 3-6 7 4 0 0 1 12 16 -
J. Wang 21 5-13 2-7 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 12 4 -
V. Masic 19 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
M. Cook 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 3 3 -
G. Diaz Graham 14 0-3 0-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
S. Gigiberia 3 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
W. Zhao 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Blakely Drummond 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
A. Braccia 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter