Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | San Francisco Dons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.9% | 82.1% | +8.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Francisco Dons +17 (82-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Foxwell | 38 | 6-17 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 4 | - |
| G. Nuckolls | 37 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | - |
| J. Ballisager Webb | 25 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| D. Censori-Hercules | 25 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| M. Ballew | 22 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. O'Donnell | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C. Williams | 19 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| M. Hronsky | 10 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Gebbers | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Noland | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Riley IV | 37 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| L. Smiley | 33 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| D. Fuchs | 28 | 8-13 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 26 | - |
| Ry. Beasley | 28 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 3-6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| J. Wang | 21 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| V. Masic | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Cook | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| G. Diaz Graham | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| S. Gigiberia | 3 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| W. Zhao | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Blakely Drummond | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Braccia | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter