Pacific
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 840 (#264) | Preseason prior 857 (returning production + recruiting): last season 930, returning -24, transfers -49, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 892 (#258) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 893 (#258) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -4.1 (#195) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -4.1 (#196) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.115 (#285) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.319 (#239) | AdjNet -7.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.316 (#244) | AdjNet -7.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.378 (#228) | AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 64.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.380 (#228) | AdjO 62.4 | AdjD 64.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.340 (#238) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.340 (#238) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 873 (#267) | RD 204 | GP 2 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.276 (#258) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Simpson (CA) Red Hawks | W | 105 - 42 |
| 2026-11-05 | @ | Washington Huskies | L | 54 - 75 |
| 2026-11-13 | @ | California Baptist Lancers | L | 63 - 86 |
| 2026-11-15 | @ | Cal State Fullerton Titans | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-20 | @ | Sacramento State Hornets | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sophia Mindermann
|
G | 3 | 29.3 | 14.0 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 11.7 | 5.3 | 14 | 3 | 4.7 | 6.5 | 42.9 | 45.5 | 100.0 | 0.36 | 58.5 | 57.1 |
Victoria Rivera
|
G | 3 | 25.7 | 13.3 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 17 | 3 | 5.7 | 8.7 | 44.4 | 47.4 | 77.8 | 1.57 | 64.6 | 61.1 |
JoJo Nworie
|
C | 3 | 22.3 | 11.0 | 6.3 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 11.3 | 9.0 | 1 | 3 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 38.2 | 50.0 | 57.1 | 0.03 | 44.5 | 42.6 |
Yana Karamfilova
|
F | 3 | 22.3 | 9.0 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 7.3 | 28 | 3 | 9.3 | 16.9 | 44.4 | 20.0 | 50.0 | 3.02 | 48.4 | 48.1 |
Jordyn Dyer
|
G | 3 | 21.7 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 5.3 | -3 | 3 | -1.0 | -1.9 | 45.5 | 50.0 | 85.7 | -1.28 | 63.9 | 54.5 |
Stella Szabo
|
G | 3 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 5.3 | 7.3 | 6 | 3 | 2.0 | 3.6 | 37.5 | 30.0 | 37.5 | 1.54 | 46.1 | 46.9 |
Mia Jamias
|
G | 1 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 4 | 1 | 4.0 | 31.8 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -0.29 | 106.4 | 150.0 |
Liv Yergensen
|
G | 3 | 14.0 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 4.0 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -1.93 | 46.8 | 45.0 |
Lamiracle Lebon
|
F | 3 | 18.0 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 6.0 | -8 | 3 | -2.7 | -6.1 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -1.29 | 72.7 | 75.0 |
Payton Montgomery
|
F | 3 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 4.0 | 6 | 3 | 2.0 | 11.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 57.1 | -0.56 | 56.5 | 50.0 |
Bella Burcar
|
G | 2 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 21 | 2 | 10.5 | 54.7 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 2.13 | 29.6 | 20.0 |
Marina Radocaj
|
G | 3 | 8.3 | 1.7 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4.7 | 6 | 3 | 2.0 | 9.5 | 50.0 | 0 | 33.3 | -1.63 | 47.0 | 50.0 |
Sofia Locati
|
G | 2 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -2 | 2 | -1.0 | -14.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -1.92 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
Daria Nestorov
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
181 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Sophia MindermannVictoria RiveraJoJo NworieYana KaramfilovaStella SzaboJordyn Dyer
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 29-43 | 67.4 | 58 | JoJo Nworie 28% (16 pts) | Yana Karamfilova 24% (14 pts) | JoJo Nworie 36% (5 misses) | Sophia Mindermann 14% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 15-43 | 34.9 | 30 | Yana Karamfilova 20% (6 pts) | JoJo Nworie 13% (4 pts) | JoJo Nworie 29% (8 misses) | Jordyn Dyer 14% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 1-6 | 16.7 | 2 | Victoria Rivera 100% (2 pts) | - | Sophia Mindermann 60% (3 misses) | JoJo Nworie 20% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 0-2 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | JoJo Nworie 50% (1 misses) | Victoria Rivera 50% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 0-6 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | JoJo Nworie 50% (3 misses) | Sophia Mindermann 17% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 3-8 | 37.5 | 9 | Stella Szabo 67% (6 pts) | JoJo Nworie 33% (3 pts) | JoJo Nworie 20% (1 misses) | Liv Yergensen 20% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 2-8 | 25.0 | 6 | Sophia Mindermann 50% (3 pts) | Victoria Rivera 50% (3 pts) | Stella Szabo 50% (3 misses) | Sofia Locati 17% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 12-23 | 52.2 | 36 | Victoria Rivera 42% (15 pts) | Sophia Mindermann 25% (9 pts) | Yana Karamfilova 27% (3 misses) | Bella Burcar 18% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 5-16 | 31.2 | 15 | Jordyn Dyer 40% (6 pts) | JoJo Nworie 20% (3 pts) | Sophia Mindermann 36% (4 misses) | Victoria Rivera 36% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 10-26 | 38.5 | 30 | Sophia Mindermann 60% (18 pts) | Victoria Rivera 20% (6 pts) | Sophia Mindermann 31% (5 misses) | Stella Szabo 19% (3 misses) |