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2026-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Pacific Tigers Pepperdine Waves Spread Result
Elo 12.5% 87.5% -
Bradley-Terry 27.5% 72.5% -
Margin 18.0% 82.0% +8.3 (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 27.9% 72.1% -
Efficiency 6.0% 94.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.8% 80.2% -
Log Adjusted 19.9% 80.1% -
Points Off/Def 31.7% 68.3% -

Actual: Pepperdine Waves +18 (71-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Bartholomew 31 7-14 0-0 5-5 5 0 0 1 3 19 8 -2.9
D. Nestorov 30 3-12 0-3 2-2 1 5 1 1 2 8 2 -7.7
S. Szabo 30 2-7 1-4 0-1 2 0 1 0 0 5 1 -0.7
S. Ward 27 4-8 0-2 2-2 10 0 1 2 1 10 14 -10.8
S. Mindermann 22 2-6 1-3 3-4 2 0 0 0 1 8 3 -7.1
M. Radocaj 22 0-3 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 0 4 -10.8
N. Lowery 16 0-3 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 0 -10.8
L. Yergensen 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -3.5
H. Burg 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 +0.5
L. Anderegg 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 2 -6.0

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Falk 35 10-14 4-5 2-2 3 0 2 1 0 26 18 +15.3
E. Guiney 29 3-10 1-5 2-3 7 1 0 1 1 9 7 +11.3
M. Fiso 26 5-11 0-1 2-3 4 5 0 0 1 12 9 +2.5
I. Finley 25 4-8 2-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 10 8 +13.4
S. Preston 23 2-5 0-2 0-0 6 2 1 1 0 4 9 +1.9
T. Sta. Maria 22 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 +9.3
B. Green 16 1-4 0-0 2-2 3 3 1 0 3 4 4 +10.1
I. Orio 12 2-4 0-1 2-2 2 3 0 0 1 6 6 +5.8
S. Harmon 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -2 +0.2
Z. Shanahan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0
I. Belegante 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1

* = starter