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Pepperdine Waves

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2016
Also known as: Pepperdine Waves
Program History

2026 Team Stats (31 games)

70.3
PPG
68.0
Opp
+2.3
Margin
44.4%
FG%
34.3%
3P%
75.5%
FT%
37.5
RPG
15.7
APG
16.3
TO
81.0
Pace
69.0
AdjO
66.2
AdjD
#132
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1086 (#126) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1047 (#151) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +113 elo More → 1057 (#117) HCA +113 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +2.8 (#133) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +12.6 (#167) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.619 (#131) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +5.3 More → 0.659 (#125) NetEff +5.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.2 More → 0.618 (#135) AdjNet +4.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.1 More → 0.617 (#137) AdjNet +4.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 66.2 More → 0.562 (#132) AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 66.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 65.8 More → 0.544 (#179) AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 65.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.795 (#140) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.759 (#142) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 103 | GP 31 More → 1112 (#131) RD 103 | GP 31

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 @ Cal State Fullerton Titans W 84 - 70
2025-11-08 vs Westmont Warriors W 74 - 51
2025-11-14 @ Utah Valley Wolverines L 56 - 85
2025-11-19 @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 80 - 74
2025-11-28 @ USC Trojans L 52 - 82
2025-12-03 vs California Baptist Lancers W 69 - 58
2025-12-16 vs North Dakota State Bison L 80 - 82
2025-12-17 vs South Dakota Coyotes W 73 - 65
2025-12-20 vs Cal State Northridge Matadors W 69 - 63
2025-12-28 @ Washington State Cougars L 63 - 66
2025-12-30 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 52 - 75
2026-01-02 vs Saint Mary's Gaels W 60 - 52
2026-01-08 vs Loyola Marymount Lions L 78 - 83
2026-01-10 @ San Diego Toreros L 51 - 54
2026-01-15 vs Pacific Tigers W 71 - 53
2026-01-17 vs Oregon State Beavers L 68 - 69
2026-01-22 @ Saint Mary's Gaels L 51 - 53
2026-01-24 vs Portland Pilots W 86 - 68
2026-01-29 vs Seattle U Redhawks W 90 - 63
2026-01-31 @ Santa Clara Broncos W 74 - 72
2026-02-07 vs Washington State Cougars W 78 - 62
2026-02-12 @ Loyola Marymount Lions L 62 - 72
2026-02-14 @ San Francisco Dons L 70 - 81
2026-02-19 vs San Diego Toreros W 76 - 55
2026-02-21 vs Santa Clara Broncos W 80 - 63
2026-02-26 @ Portland Pilots W 70 - 63
2026-02-28 @ Seattle U Redhawks W 81 - 67
2026-03-07 vs San Francisco Dons L 69 - 86
2026-03-19 vs UC Davis Aggies W 71 - 68
2026-03-22 vs Southern Utah Thunderbirds W 85 - 80
2026-03-26 @ South Dakota Coyotes L 57 - 73

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
E. Guiney E. Guiney G 31 32.6 15.0 3.9 2.6 0.7 0.6 2.5 10.6 9.8 56 2.4 3.7 46.6 41.4 83.2 3.57 61.6 56.6
L. Falk L. Falk G 26 31.3 12.4 4.4 1.3 1.0 0.3 1.8 9.5 8.1 59 2.8 4.7 48.2 39.8 79.3 2.77 59.3 56.1
M. Fiso M. Fiso G 31 28.0 11.2 4.6 2.0 0.7 0.4 2.0 10.5 6.4 28 1.2 2.2 42.8 24.6 69.2 0.07 48.2 45.0
T. Sta. Maria T. Sta. Maria G 31 30.5 7.5 2.2 3.7 0.7 0.2 2.4 5.5 6.4 76 3.3 7.0 47.1 29.8 81.2 -0.44 57.3 51.2
S. Preston S. Preston F 31 22.2 6.7 8.2 2.3 1.4 0.9 2.6 6.2 10.7 34 1.5 3.3 42.7 19.7 60.0 0.5 48.3 45.8
B. Green B. Green G 31 16.1 6.6 5.8 1.1 0.7 0.1 1.7 5.3 7.4 7 0.3 1.0 49.1 40.0 78.3 0.64 55.7 51.5
S. Harmon S. Harmon G 31 20.8 6.0 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.8 5.7 2.6 -16 -0.7 -2.0 37.6 36.4 75.0 -2.52 50.7 49.7
I. Finley I. Finley G 29 17.0 4.9 2.1 1.3 0.5 0.1 1.1 4.1 3.8 54 2.6 8.3 41.2 36.7 67.7 -0.21 53.2 50.4
I. Orio I. Orio F 20 9.3 2.5 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.8 2.0 2.2 20 1.2 4.6 40.0 15.8 73.7 -0.12 50.7 43.8
Q. VanSickle Q. VanSickle G 3 7.3 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.3 0.3 2 0.7 11.3 28.6 33.3 0 -0.87 42.9 42.9
Z. Shanahan Z. Shanahan F 13 4.1 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.8 -0.1 -24 -1.8 -25.7 45.5 0.0 100.0 -3.78 50.5 45.5
I. Belegante I. Belegante G 13 1.9 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 -0.2 12 1.1 26.8 14.3 16.7 66.7 -1.0 30.0 21.4

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG