Model Predictions
| Model | Pepperdine Waves | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.5% | 88.5% | +12.8 | ✓ (10.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.6% | 91.4% | +13.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +23 (75-52). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taija Sta. Maria * | 34 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | -23.6 |
| Elli Guiney * | 33 | 3-11 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | -15.9 |
| Meghan Fiso * | 21 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | -14.3 |
| Shorna Preston * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -15.4 |
| Lina Falk * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -9.1 |
| Seleh Harmon | 28 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -8.1 |
| Irune Orio | 17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Bella Green | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -0.7 |
| Ivory Finley | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +1.9 |
| Zoe Shanahan | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.4 |
| Ilinca Belegante | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +3.2 |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allie Turner * | 30 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | +20.6 |
| Taylor Smith * | 27 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 14 | +9.4 |
| Ines Bettencourt * | 24 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +18.5 |
| Lauren Whittaker * | 23 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 9-9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 20 | +19.6 |
| Zeryhia Aokuso * | 18 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | +9.8 |
| Jaiden Haile | 24 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 23 | +14.7 |
| Teryn Gardner | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +3.9 |
| Julia Wilson | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +4.6 |
| Paige Lofing | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Christabel Osarobo | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -7.4 |
* = starter