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2025-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Pepperdine Waves Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 22.9% 77.1% -
Bradley-Terry 24.2% 75.8% -
Margin 8.6% 91.4% +13.0 (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 40.0% 60.0% -
Efficiency 18.4% 81.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.3% 94.7% -
Log Adjusted 5.2% 94.8% -
Points Off/Def 23.0% 77.0% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +23 (75-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Sta. Maria 34 7-9 1-1 1-1 3 2 1 0 3 16 10 -22.6
E. Guiney 33 3-11 1-8 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 7 1 -16.0
S. Harmon 28 1-7 1-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 3 1 -4.4
M. Fiso 21 2-11 0-2 3-5 4 0 0 0 1 7 -1 -22.5
S. Preston 19 3-5 0-0 0-1 5 1 0 2 3 6 6 -10.6
I. Orio 17 2-4 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 6 4 -2.2
B. Green 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 -1 -3.3
I. Finley 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 0 3 +1.9
L. Falk 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 -3.2
Z. Shanahan 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -4.2
I. Belegante 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 +2.4

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Turner 30 6-11 5-8 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 17 12 +18.3
T. Smith 27 4-5 0-0 0-0 6 4 2 1 2 8 14 +9.9
J. Haile 24 9-14 0-0 3-7 12 3 1 0 0 21 23 +14.4
I. Bettencourt 24 0-5 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 0 -2 +23.5
L. Whittaker 23 6-12 1-4 9-9 9 1 1 0 1 22 20 +18.3
T. Gardner 20 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 2 +9.4
J. Wilson 19 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 0 3 +1.5
Z. Aokuso 18 3-9 1-2 0-0 3 3 1 0 3 7 2 +14.2
P. Lofing 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1.4
C. Osarobo 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -6.5

* = starter