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2025-12-16

Model Predictions

Model North Dakota State Bison Pepperdine Waves Spread Result
Elo 70.3% 29.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 68.4% 31.6% - โœ“
Margin 82.4% 17.6% -8.5 โœ“ (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 57.5% 42.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 92.7% 7.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 88.6% 11.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 88.9% 11.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 67.2% 32.8% - โœ“

Actual: Pepperdine Waves -2 (80-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Dakota State Bison

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marisa Frost 42 5-13 1-4 3-3 1 1 1 0 0 14 4 -1.4
Avery Koenen 38 8-16 0-0 13-16 12 2 2 0 3 29 26 +2.7
Molly Lenz 36 3-13 2-6 1-2 6 2 1 0 1 9 4 +7.6
Jocelyn Schiller 36 4-10 1-2 6-7 5 3 2 0 2 15 13 -6.9
Abby Krzewinski 33 2-7 0-1 1-3 8 2 0 1 1 5 8 -2.1
Karrington Asp 21 3-5 0-0 2-3 3 2 1 0 3 8 6 -11.9
Abby Graham 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -6.1
Amelia Hobson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -9.0
Miriley Simon 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -1.8

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lina Falk 40 6-12 1-3 1-2 4 1 2 0 1 14 8 +12.9
Elli Guiney 39 6-12 1-4 4-4 3 3 2 0 2 17 11 +6.4
Seleh Harmon 38 3-9 3-8 0-0 0 4 2 1 1 9 6 -0.2
Meghan Fiso 38 8-15 0-0 1-2 7 4 0 1 1 17 13 +7.3
Taija Sta. Maria 25 3-6 0-2 2-2 2 3 0 0 2 8 5 +16.5
Shorna Preston 18 1-2 0-1 1-2 7 1 0 1 1 3 9 +5.0
Irune Orio 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 4 4 +10.8
Bella Green 12 4-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 5 8 4 -7.5

* = starter