Model Predictions
| Model | San Francisco Dons | Pepperdine Waves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | +1.3 | ✗ (18.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.0% | 60.0% | +4.5 | ✗ (21.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Pepperdine Waves -17 (69-86). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candy Edokpaigbe * | 37 | 3-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Aina Cargol * | 36 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Mara Neira * | 32 | 5-13 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Natasa Tausova * | 25 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| N. Mourio * | 21 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Nevaeh Ferrara Horne | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Meghan McIntyre | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Michelle Ugwah | 12 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Sol Castro | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elli Guiney * | 38 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Meghan Fiso * | 30 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Lina Falk * | 29 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -3 | -21.9 |
| Shorna Preston * | 25 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Taija Sta. Maria * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Ivory Finley | 29 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Bella Green | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Seleh Harmon | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Irune Orio | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter