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2026-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Southern Utah Thunderbirds Pepperdine Waves Spread Result
Elo 20.4% 79.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 31.8% 68.2% - โœ“
Margin 19.0% 81.0% +8.0 โœ“ (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 41.0% 59.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 31.0% 69.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 19.0% 81.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 18.5% 81.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 32.5% 67.5% - โœ“

Actual: Pepperdine Waves +5 (85-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ava Uhrich 38 9-18 2-4 9-11 15 3 1 3 1 29 32 -2.3
Kortney Doman 37 4-8 1-3 0-0 9 4 4 0 3 9 15 -0.4
Brooklyn Fely 36 9-18 2-2 5-6 8 5 1 0 4 25 17 +2.9
Sierra Chambers 35 4-10 2-5 0-1 0 4 1 1 1 10 5 -14.7
Devyn Kiernan 24 0-5 0-5 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -4 -19.4
Morgan Trigueiro 15 1-6 1-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 3 -3 -5.9
Denver Anderson 10 2-8 0-2 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 4 -3 +1.3
Ashley Banks 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -10.7
Bella Hasan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.2
Charli Kay 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Taija Sta. Maria 39 7-11 0-2 8-8 3 2 0 0 1 22 15 +7.8
Ivory Finley 34 2-2 2-2 5-8 4 2 0 0 1 11 14 -9.8
Meghan Fiso 34 7-13 1-3 1-2 3 1 1 0 3 16 5 +7.3
Seleh Harmon 29 1-4 0-2 3-4 5 0 0 0 0 5 6 +4.3
Elli Guiney 24 4-10 2-5 3-4 3 4 0 0 2 13 8 +21.9
Shorna Preston 22 2-7 0-1 3-4 11 2 2 0 5 7 10 +0.1
Bella Green 17 4-7 1-2 2-2 9 1 2 0 1 11 15 +8.5
Zoe Shanahan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 +0.1

* = starter