Seattle U
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 810 (#280) | Preseason prior 771 (returning production + recruiting): last season 816, returning -96, transfers +51, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 891 (#262) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 892 (#263) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -13.0 (#291) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -12.9 (#291) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.200 (#246) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.214 (#303) | AdjNet -12.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.236 (#288) | AdjNet -10.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.360 (#246) | AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 62.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.361 (#249) | AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 62.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.297 (#265) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.297 (#266) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 879 (#261) | RD 168 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.242 (#274) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | New Mexico Lobos | W | 63 - 62 |
| 2026-11-06 | vs | UC Riverside Highlanders | W | 80 - 55 |
| 2026-11-09 | @ | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | L | 48 - 92 |
| 2026-11-11 | @ | Cal Poly Mustangs | L | 55 - 57 |
| 2026-11-18 | vs | Pacific Lutheran Lutes | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-21 | @ | Chicago State Cougars | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions and box-score rates; an unlisted position is inferred from those rates, and missing rates are treated as zero. Legend numbers are each player's share of recorded roster minutes, scaled to five players' regulation minutes; they can differ from minutes per game in the roster below, especially when players miss games or coverage is incomplete. Each position column totals one regulation game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cristina Jones
|
F | 4 | 34.0 | 16.2 | 7.2 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 15.8 | 11.0 | -36 | 4 | -9.0 | -10.6 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 30.4 | -0.03 | 44.4 | 46.0 |
Alanna Neale
|
G | 4 | 29.0 | 14.2 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 4.2 | 10.2 | 6.8 | -18 | 4 | -4.5 | -6.2 | 46.3 | 52.9 | 58.8 | 0.11 | 58.8 | 57.3 |
Claire Fraser
|
F | 4 | 28.8 | 7.8 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 6.8 | 4.2 | -10 | 4 | -2.5 | -3.5 | 29.6 | 33.3 | 90.0 | -1.36 | 49.4 | 40.7 |
Shelley Duchemin
|
G | 4 | 19.0 | 6.8 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 6.2 | 4.5 | -4 | 4 | -1.0 | -2.1 | 36.0 | 40.0 | 62.5 | -0.48 | 47.3 | 44.0 |
Sophie Buzzard
|
G | 4 | 28.8 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 5.2 | 3.8 | -24 | 4 | -6.0 | -8.3 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 40.0 | -2.03 | 40.9 | 40.5 |
Gabriela Escorial Ferrero
|
F | 4 | 19.2 | 4.8 | 6.0 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 6.2 | 6.8 | 11 | 4 | 2.8 | 5.7 | 36.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 2.35 | 37.3 | 38.0 |
Erin Sellers
|
G | 4 | 15.8 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | -6 | 4 | -1.5 | -3.8 | 18.8 | 25.0 | 20.0 | -1.52 | 24.7 | 25.0 |
Ayanna Jackson
|
F | 2 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 69.4 | 50.0 |
Milana Nenadic
|
F | 4 | 7.8 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | -14 | 4 | -3.5 | -17.6 | 22.2 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -2.13 | 32.5 | 27.8 |
Lindsay Biddle
|
G | 3 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 13.4 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0.0 | -0.47 | 43.6 | 50.0 |
Nari Powers
|
F | 2 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | -3 | 2 | -1.5 | -9.2 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.72 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Dylan Mogel
|
G | 3 | 12.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 2.7 | -1 | 3 | -0.3 | -1.1 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.46 | 79.8 | 100.0 |
Sy Simanton
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Mahliya Wilson
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
235 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Cristina JonesAlanna NealeClaire FraserShelley DucheminSophie BuzzardErin Sellers
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 28-59 | 47.5 | 56 | Cristina Jones 50% (28 pts) | Alanna Neale 14% (8 pts) | Cristina Jones 32% (10 misses) | Gabriela Escorial Ferrero 19% (6 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 26-78 | 33.3 | 52 | Cristina Jones 50% (26 pts) | Gabriela Escorial Ferrero 15% (8 pts) | Cristina Jones 33% (17 misses) | Gabriela Escorial Ferrero 17% (9 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 3-6 | 50.0 | 6 | Alanna Neale 33% (2 pts) | Cristina Jones 33% (2 pts) | Cristina Jones 33% (1 misses) | Erin Sellers 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 1-9 | 11.1 | 2 | Sophie Buzzard 100% (2 pts) | - | Cristina Jones 50% (4 misses) | Milana Nenadic 25% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 5-11 | 45.5 | 10 | Alanna Neale 40% (4 pts) | Ayanna Jackson 20% (2 pts) | Erin Sellers 33% (2 misses) | Alanna Neale 17% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 5-14 | 35.7 | 15 | Sophie Buzzard 60% (9 pts) | Erin Sellers 20% (3 pts) | Sophie Buzzard 44% (4 misses) | Alanna Neale 22% (2 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 5-7 | 71.4 | 15 | Alanna Neale 80% (12 pts) | Gabriela Escorial Ferrero 20% (3 pts) | Claire Fraser 50% (1 misses) | Erin Sellers 50% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 6-26 | 23.1 | 18 | Alanna Neale 33% (6 pts) | Claire Fraser 33% (6 pts) | Claire Fraser 30% (6 misses) | Alanna Neale 20% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 6-12 | 50.0 | 18 | Claire Fraser 50% (9 pts) | Alanna Neale 17% (3 pts) | Shelley Duchemin 50% (3 misses) | Alanna Neale 17% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 5-13 | 38.5 | 15 | Alanna Neale 40% (6 pts) | Claire Fraser 20% (3 pts) | Claire Fraser 38% (3 misses) | Erin Sellers 25% (2 misses) |