🐻⬇️🏀

Sacramento State Hornets

Also known as: Sacramento State Hornets
Program History

2026 Team Stats (29 games)

62.1
PPG
60.6
Opp
+1.5
Margin
40.4%
FG%
32.4%
3P%
73.2%
FT%
36.1
RPG
12.2
APG
18.3
TO
80.8
Pace

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +113 elo More → 964 (#463) HCA +113 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +11.3 (#182) HCA +2.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.9 | AdjD 58.3 More → 0.557 (#164) AdjO 60.9 | AdjD 58.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.719 (#189) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.684 (#192) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 138 | GP 29 More → 991 (#213) RD 138 | GP 29

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-06 vs Nevada Wolf Pack W 65 - 45
2025-11-09 @ California Golden Bears L 52 - 69
2025-11-12 @ UC San Diego Tritons W 71 - 60
2025-11-21 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans W 78 - 58
2025-11-24 vs UC Davis Aggies L 67 - 70
2025-11-28 vs Chattanooga Mocs L 57 - 59
2025-12-04 @ Pacific Tigers L 54 - 67
2025-12-15 vs Simpson University (CA) Red Hawks W 102 - 42
2025-12-17 @ San Francisco Dons L 55 - 61
2026-01-01 vs Idaho State Bengals L 46 - 61
2026-01-03 vs Weber State Wildcats W 60 - 39
2026-01-10 vs Portland State Vikings W 68 - 64
2026-01-15 @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 78 - 59
2026-01-17 @ Northern Colorado Bears L 46 - 68
2026-01-22 vs Idaho Vandals L 55 - 62
2026-01-24 vs Eastern Washington Eagles W 61 - 54
2026-01-29 @ Montana State Bobcats L 31 - 66
2026-01-31 @ Montana Lady Griz W 64 - 57
2026-02-02 @ Weber State Wildcats L 64 - 72
2026-02-07 @ Portland State Vikings L 62 - 64
2026-02-12 vs Northern Colorado Bears L 55 - 62
2026-02-14 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks L 55 - 60
2026-02-19 @ Eastern Washington Eagles W 69 - 60
2026-02-21 @ Idaho Vandals L 60 - 75
2026-02-26 vs Montana Lady Griz W 75 - 57
2026-02-28 vs Montana State Bobcats L 54 - 61
2026-03-02 @ Idaho State Bengals W 85 - 72
2026-03-09 @ Idaho State Bengals W 62 - 53
2026-03-10 @ Idaho Vandals L 51 - 59

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
R. Gray R. Gray G 29 33.9 14.4 2.8 1.1 1.0 0.3 2.2 13.0 4.5 -52 -2.3 -2.9 40.2 34.8 88.7 -1.57 52.3 49.3
N. Picton N. Picton G 27 36.3 13.7 3.8 2.1 2.0 0.1 2.6 13.1 6.0 -33 -1.4 -1.9 37.1 31.7 81.7 -1.96 48.6 45.3
B. Versteeg B. Versteeg G 29 34.6 12.4 5.1 4.7 1.4 0.5 5.1 12.6 6.3 -29 -1.2 -1.6 38.5 28.9 71.4 -0.03 45.1 41.8
F. Jaiteh F. Jaiteh F 21 24.5 6.6 6.0 1.3 1.6 0.6 1.6 4.7 9.8 -37 -2.8 -4.9 45.9 39.1 76.5 -1.32 57.3 50.5
K. Salave'a K. Salave'a F 28 20.3 6.5 5.8 0.9 0.8 0.9 2.0 5.2 7.5 -2 -0.1 -0.2 49.0 22.6 68.2 0.49 54.4 51.4
J. Mandaquit J. Mandaquit G 28 21.4 3.3 2.4 1.2 1.4 0.1 0.9 3.4 4.1 -9 -0.4 -1.1 35.1 40.4 87.5 1.88 47.2 45.2
B. Taylor B. Taylor F 25 7.6 2.8 1.9 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.7 2.1 2.8 55 2.8 11.7 54.7 0.0 64.7 1.3 57.0 54.7
E. Leghissa E. Leghissa F 2 7.0 2.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 3.5 -7 -1.8 -494.1 66.7 0 25.0 -0.02 52.5 66.7
E. Abiara E. Abiara F 27 13.9 2.3 4.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.9 4.5 -37 -1.7 -4.0 48.0 0 44.8 -2.05 48.6 48.0
P. Paananen P. Paananen F 27 9.6 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.4 2.1 1.2 1 0.0 0.2 34.5 28.6 100.0 2.7 45.3 44.8
T. Fa'i T. Fa'i G 25 7.6 1.3 1.3 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.2 1.9 49 2.1 12.2 41.9 37.5 0.0 2.88 50.9 51.6
A. Lual A. Lual C 26 3.5 0.6 0.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.8 32 1.6 11.5 43.8 0 50.0 0.37 45.0 43.8
J. Fontenberry J. Fontenberry G 17 3.4 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.0 7 0.6 17.0 14.3 0.0 83.3 -1.08 27.0 14.3
S. Lee S. Lee G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -15 -0.7 -2.2 - - - 3.51 - -
Jeniece Harmon Jeniece Harmon G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
N. Arvai N. Arvai F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG